Ellis Simms

Coventry City · F · #9

EVE v COV · Fri, Nov 6 3:00 PM

Over only2.5

Over 2.5 Shots, typical price +1201 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

20%2 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 6 on the road).

at HUL (Championship), 2026-04-06: 1, missed
vs SHW (Championship), 2026-04-11: 3, cleared
at BLK (Championship), 2026-04-17: 0, missed
vs POR (Championship), 2026-04-21: 1, missed
vs WXM (Championship), 2026-04-26: 2, missed
at WAT (Championship), 2026-05-02: 3, cleared
at ARS (Premier League), 2026-08-21: 0, missed
at MNC (Premier League), 2026-09-05: 1, missed
at NFO (Premier League), 2026-09-19: 0, missed
vs NEW (Premier League), 2026-10-12: 1, missed

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 lineEFL Championship · unmarked: Premier League

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 1.2; −1.3 vs line
Median: 1; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 45%; at +120
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−12001 book	7/10
	−2451 book	3/10
	+1201 book	2/10
	+3101 book	0/10
	+8001 book	0/10
	+20001 book	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“3+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 1 sportsbook at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 2.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5
DraftKings8 min ago	+120Best

Prices as of 11:07 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over: No move since first seen

Ellis Simms's full game log and splits