Brenden Aaronson

Leeds United · M · #11

LEE v TOT · Sat, Nov 7 7:30 AM

Over 0.5 Shots on Target, typical price +1404 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

20%2 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Shots on Target cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (0 of 4 at home).

vs BHA (Premier League), 2026-05-17: 0, missed
at WHU (Premier League), 2026-05-24: 1, cleared
at NFO (Premier League), 2026-08-22: 1, cleared
vs BRE (Premier League), 2026-08-30: 0, missed
at BHA (Premier League), 2026-09-05: 0, missed
vs NEW (Premier League), 2026-09-14: 0, missed
vs CRY (Premier League), 2026-09-20: 0, missed
at ARS (Premier League), 2026-10-10: 0, missed
at SUN (Premier League), 2026-10-25: 0, missed
at BOU (Premier League), 2026-10-31: 0, missed

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 line

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 42%; at +140
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1404 books	pick'em only	2/10
	+4251 book	—	0/10
	+19001 book	—	0/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Shots on Target, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet10 min ago	+140Best	—
betPARX10 min ago	+140Best	—
BetRivers10 min ago	+140Best	—
DraftKings10 min ago	−120	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:42 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over −120 → +140 since we started recording it

Brenden Aaronson's full game log and splits