Joel Colwill
NOR v CAR · Sat, Nov 21 7:30 AMOver only0.5
Over 0.5 Shots on Target, typical price −1252 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated
Game log against Over 0.5
Historical hit rate
30%3 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Shots on Target cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).
Games counted
Game log L10vs BURShots on Target0Miss
Game-by-game results 10 games · 2026-09-08 – 2026-11-07
Past results describe this sample; they are not a forecast.
| Date | Opponent | Shots on Target | Workload | At 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs BUR | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-11-04 | vs WHU | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-10-31 | @ WOL | 2 | — | Hit |
| 2026-10-24 | vs BIR | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-10-17 | @ MID | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-10-13 | vs WAT | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-10-10 | @ BLK | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-09-19 | vs CHA | 1 | — | Hit |
| 2026-09-12 | @ BOL | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-09-08 | vs STK | 1 | — | Hit |
L10 · Over 0.5
Historical results
- Average
- 0.4
- −0.1 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Past hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
Price and estimates
- Break-even chance
- 56%
- at −125
- Market estimate
- —
- no Under posted
What do these numbers mean?
- Past hit rate
- How often this line cleared in the games you selected. It describes those games, not the chance of the next one.
- Break-even chance
- The chance needed to break even at the displayed price over time.
- Market estimate
- The sportsbooks' estimated chance with their margin removed. It needs prices on both sides.
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | L10 |
|---|---|---|
| −1252 books | 3/10 |
Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“1+ shots on target”), with no Under to take.
Compare 2 sportsbooks at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 |
|---|---|
| Bally Bet6 min ago | −125Best |
| BetRivers6 min ago | −125Best |
Prices as of 12:57 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
Line movementMain line 0.5
No opening line kept for this market yet.

