David Strelec

Middlesbrough · F · #13

WAT v MID · Tomorrow 10:00 AM

Over only3.5

Over 3.5 Shots, typical price −1101 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

20%2 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Shots cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

at IPS (Championship), 2026-04-19: 4, cleared
vs SHW (Championship), 2026-04-22: 1, missed
vs WAT (Championship), 2026-04-25: 2, missed
at WXM (Championship), 2026-05-02: 2, missed
vs SOU (Championship), 2026-05-09: 3, missed
at HUL (Championship), 2026-05-23: 4, cleared
at BUR (Championship), 2026-09-02: 0, missed
vs MIL (Championship), 2026-09-15: 0, missed
vs CHA (Championship), 2026-10-31: 0, missed
at WXM (Championship), 2026-11-04: 0, missed

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 line

L10 · Over 3.5

Average: 1.6; −1.9 vs line
Median: 1.5; −2 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 52%; at −110
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−9001 book	5/10
	−2651 book	3/10
	−1101 book	2/10
	+2051 book	0/10
	+4501 book	0/10
	+9501 book	0/10
	+20001 book	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“4+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 1 sportsbook at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 3.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5
DraftKings8 min ago	−110Best

Prices as of 9:37 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over: No move since first seen

David Strelec's full game log and splits