Camiel Neghli

Millwall · M · #10

WBA v MIL · Sat, Nov 7 10:00 AM

Over only0.5

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +4204 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

30%3 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).

vs BOL (Championship), 2026-09-05: 1, cleared
at BLK (Championship), 2026-09-12: 0, missed
at MID (Championship), 2026-09-15: 0, missed
vs WHU (Championship), 2026-09-19: 1, cleared
at PNE (Championship), 2026-10-10: 1, cleared
vs SWA (Championship), 2026-10-13: 0, missed
vs LCN (Championship), 2026-10-17: 0, missed
at POR (Championship), 2026-10-24: 0, missed
vs DER (Championship), 2026-10-31: 0, missed
at BIR (Championship), 2026-11-03: 0, missed

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 line

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 19%; at +420
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	+4204 books	3/10
	+40004 books	0/10
	+350001 book	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“to score”), with no Under to take.

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5
DraftKings8 min ago	+550Best
Bally Bet8 min ago	+420
betPARX8 min ago	+420
BetRivers8 min ago	+420

Prices as of 3:12 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: +410 → +420 since first seen

Camiel Neghli's full game log and splits