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Sam Leavitt

LSU Tigers · QB · #10

TEX @ LSU · Sat, Nov 14 7:30 PM

College box scores skip games where a player recorded no stats, so these hit rates can run high on Overs.

OverUnder27.5
Over 27.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1151 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 27.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 27.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 7 at home).

  1. vs TTU, 2025-10-18: 3, missed, 12 carries
  2. vs HOU, 2025-10-25: 22, missed, 6 carries
  3. vs CLEM, 2026-09-05: 113, cleared, 12 carries
  4. vs LT, 2026-09-12: 22, missed, 11 carries
  5. at MISS, 2026-09-19: 63, cleared, 17 carries
  6. vs TA&M, 2026-09-26: 22, missed, 5 carries
  7. at UK, 2026-10-10: 39, cleared, 15 carries
  8. vs MSST, 2026-10-17: 11, missed, 4 carries
  9. at AUB, 2026-10-24: 54, cleared, 8 carries
  10. vs ALA, 2026-11-07: 16, missed, 15 carries
ClearedMissedThe 27.5 lineCarries

Splits

Over 27.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TEX in his last 10; Over 27.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against TEX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Rest

6 days off since Nov 7 vs ALA

Last vs TEX

Rushing Yards: 60 in 13 carries, Jan 1, 2025 (home)

Over 27.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against TEX on record

L10 · Over 27.5

Average
36.5
+9 vs line
Median
22
−5.5 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −115
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Carries
10.5
10 games · 10.4 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 27.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1151 book−1151 book4/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 27.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 27.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 27.5Under 27.5
Bovada4 min ago−115Best−115Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 5:42 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

27.5

29.5 → 27.5 since first seen

Sam Leavitt's full game log and splits