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Sam Leavitt

LSU Tigers · QB · #10

TEX @ LSU · Sat, Nov 14 7:30 PM

College box scores skip games where a player recorded no stats, so these hit rates can run high on Overs.

OverUnder1.5
Over 1.5 Passing TDs, typical price +1201 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 1.5

50%5 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Passing TDs cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 7 at home).

  1. vs HOU, 2025-10-25: 1, missed, 35 attempts
  2. vs CLEM, 2026-09-05: 1, missed, 28 attempts
  3. vs LT, 2026-09-12: 1, missed, 38 attempts
  4. at MISS, 2026-09-19: 1, missed, 27 attempts
  5. vs TA&M, 2026-09-26: 2, cleared, 23 attempts
  6. vs , 2026-10-03: 3, cleared, 23 attempts
  7. at UK, 2026-10-10: 2, cleared, 34 attempts
  8. vs MSST, 2026-10-17: 4, cleared, 38 attempts
  9. at AUB, 2026-10-24: 3, cleared, 45 attempts
  10. vs ALA, 2026-11-07: 0, missed, 47 attempts
ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linePass attempts

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TEX in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against TEX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Rest

6 days off since Nov 7 vs ALA

Last vs TEX

Passing TDs: 0 in 46 attempts, Jan 1, 2025 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against TEX on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average
1.8
+0.3 vs line
Median
1.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
45%
at +120
Books’ fair
42%
margin removed
Pass attempts
33.8
10 games · 34.1 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 42%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
+1201 book−1601 book5/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Passing TDs, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
Bovada15 min ago+120Best−160Best
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 6:22 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: +125 → +120 since first seen

Sam Leavitt's full game log and splits