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John Mateer

Oklahoma Sooners · QB · #10

OU @ FLA · Tomorrow 7:45 PM

College box scores skip games where a player recorded no stats, so these hit rates can run high on Overs.

OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Passing TDs, typical price −2862 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 0.5

90%9 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Passing TDs cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (3 of 3 on the road).

  1. vs LSU, 2025-11-29: 2, cleared, 38 attempts
  2. vs ALA, 2025-12-19: 2, cleared, 41 attempts
  3. vs UTEP, 2026-09-04: 3, cleared, 17 attempts
  4. at MICH, 2026-09-12: 1, cleared, 33 attempts
  5. vs UNM, 2026-09-19: 2, cleared, 25 attempts
  6. at UGA, 2026-09-26: 2, cleared, 34 attempts
  7. vs TEX, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 26 attempts
  8. vs UK, 2026-10-17: 1, cleared, 40 attempts
  9. at MSST, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 29 attempts
  10. vs SC, 2026-10-31: 2, cleared, 43 attempts
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linePass attempts

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against FLA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Rest

6 days off since Oct 31 vs SC

L10 · Over 0.5

Average
1.7
+1.2 vs line
Median
2
+1.5 vs line
Hit rate
90%
9 of 10
Price implies
74%
at −286
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Pass attempts
32.6
10 games · 33.1 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−2862 bookspick'em only9/10
+2152 books—7/10
+10502 books—1/10
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Passing TDs, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
Bally Bet11 min ago−286Best—
BetRivers11 min ago−286Best—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 10:47 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

1.5 → 0.5 since first seen

John Mateer's full game log and splits