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John Alan Richter

Toledo Rockets · QB · #6

TOL @ SAC · Tomorrow 7:00 PM

College box scores skip games where a player recorded no stats, so these hit rates can run high on Overs.

OverUnder251.5
Over 251.5 Passing Yards, typical price −1151 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 251.5

50%5 of 10L10

Over 251.5 Passing Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 on the road).

  1. vs , 2025-09-13: 93, missed, 14 attempts
  2. vs AKR, 2025-09-27: 14, missed, 2 attempts
  3. at MSU, 2026-09-04: 196, missed, 21 attempts
  4. vs , 2026-09-12: 252, cleared, 24 attempts
  5. vs TEM, 2026-09-19: 429, cleared, 51 attempts
  6. vs SDSU, 2026-09-26: 284, cleared, 22 attempts
  7. at BALL, 2026-10-03: 201, missed, 35 attempts
  8. vs BUF, 2026-10-10: 203, missed, 35 attempts
  9. at EMU, 2026-10-17: 288, cleared, 30 attempts
  10. vs WMU, 2026-10-24: 391, cleared, 41 attempts
ClearedMissedThe 251.5 linePass attempts

Count only

Over 251.5 · L10

Rest

10 days off since Oct 24 vs WMU

L10 · Over 251.5

Average
235.1
−16.4 vs line
Median
227.5
−24 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −115
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Pass attempts
27.5
10 games · 8.3 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 251.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1151 book−1151 book5/10
pick'em onlypick'em only4/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 251.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 251.5 Passing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 251.5Under 251.5
Bovada3 min ago−115Best−115Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 12:35 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

251.5

Over No move since first seen

John Alan Richter's full game log and splits