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Isaac Wilson

QB · #16

HOU @ COLO · Tomorrow 10:15 PM

College box scores skip games where a player recorded no stats, so these hit rates can run high on Overs.

OverUnder1.5
Over 1.5 Passing TDs, typical price +1351 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 1.5

30%3 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Passing TDs cleared in 3 of his last 10 games.

  1. at COLO, 2024-11-16: 2, cleared, 40 attempts
  2. vs ISU, 2024-11-23: 0, missed, 8 attempts
  3. vs COLO, 2025-10-25: 0, missed, 1 attempts
  4. vs , 2026-09-12: 0, missed, 2 attempts
  5. at BAY, 2026-09-26: 1, missed, 25 attempts
  6. vs TTU, 2026-10-03: 1, missed, 44 attempts
  7. vs UTAH, 2026-10-17: 2, cleared, 30 attempts
  8. at OKST, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 27 attempts
  9. vs KSU, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 21 attempts
  10. at ASU, 2026-11-07: 1, missed, 31 attempts
ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linePass attempts

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 1.5

Average
1
−0.5 vs line
Median
1
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
30%
3 of 10
Price implies
43%
at +135
Books’ fair
40%
margin removed
Pass attempts
22.9
10 games · 1 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 40%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
+1351 book−1801 book3/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Passing TDs, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
Bovada2 min ago+135Best−180Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:10 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: No move since first seen

Isaac Wilson's full game log and splits