Phillip Tietz

Mainz · F · #9

M05 v MUN · Sat, Nov 7 9:30 AM

Over only2.5

Over 2.5 Shots, typical price +1401 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

vs FCU (Bundesliga), 2026-05-10: 0, missed
at HDH (Bundesliga), 2026-05-16: 2, missed
vs SCP (Bundesliga), 2026-08-29: 3, cleared
at HSV (Bundesliga), 2026-09-06: 4, cleared
vs SGE (Bundesliga), 2026-09-12: 6, cleared
at BMG (Bundesliga), 2026-09-19: 3, cleared
vs B04 (Bundesliga), 2026-10-10: 5, cleared
at S04 (Bundesliga), 2026-10-17: 3, cleared
vs SVW (Bundesliga), 2026-10-24: 5, cleared
at ELV (Bundesliga), 2026-10-30: 1, missed

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 line

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 3.2; +0.7 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 42%; at +140
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−9001 book	9/10
	−2151 book	8/10
	+1401 book	7/10
	+3701 book	4/10
	+9501 book	3/10
	+25001 book	1/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“3+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 1 sportsbook at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 2.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5
DraftKings6 min ago	+140Best

Prices as of 12:07 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over: +150 → +140 since first seen

Phillip Tietz's full game log and splits