Patson Daka

Hamburg SV · F · #20

HSV v BMG · Tomorrow 2:30 PM

Over only1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Target, typical price +1804 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

20%2 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Target cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).

vs SWA (Championship), 2026-04-11: 2, cleared
at POR (Championship), 2026-04-18: 2, cleared
vs HUL (Championship), 2026-04-21: 0, missed
vs MIL (Championship), 2026-04-24: 0, missed
at BLK (Championship), 2026-05-02: 0, missed
at DOR (Bundesliga), 2026-08-29: 0, missed
vs M05 (Bundesliga), 2026-09-06: 0, missed
at RBL (Bundesliga), 2026-09-13: 0, missed
vs KOE (Bundesliga), 2026-09-19: 0, missed
at SGE (Bundesliga), 2026-11-01: 0, missed

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 lineEFL Championship · unmarked: Bundesliga

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 0.4; −1.1 vs line
Median: 0; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 36%; at +180
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−2354 books	2/10
	+1804 books	2/10
	+5504 books	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“2+ shots on target”), with no Under to take.

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 1.5 Shots on Target, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5
FanDuel9 min ago	+210Best
Bally Bet9 min ago	+180
betPARX9 min ago	+180
BetRivers9 min ago	+180

Prices as of 3:19 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: +200 → +180 since first seen

Patson Daka's full game log and splits