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Max Moerstedt

TSG Hoffenheim · F · #9

TSG v S04 · Sun, Nov 8 1:30 PM
Over only1.5
Over 1.5 Shots on Target, typical price +1202 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 1.5

10%1 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Target cleared in 1 of his last 10 games (0 of 5 at home).

  1. at KOE (Bundesliga), 2026-02-21: 0, missed
  2. at RBL (Bundesliga), 2026-03-20: 0, missed
  3. vs M05 (Bundesliga), 2026-04-04: 0, missed
  4. vs DOR (Bundesliga), 2026-04-18: 0, missed
  5. at HSV (Bundesliga), 2026-04-25: 0, missed
  6. vs VFB (Bundesliga), 2026-05-02: 1, missed
  7. at KOE (Bundesliga), 2026-08-29: 2, cleared
  8. vs DOR (Bundesliga), 2026-09-05: 0, missed
  9. at SCP (Bundesliga), 2026-09-20: 0, missed
  10. vs B04 (Bundesliga), 2026-10-25: 1, missed
ClearedMissedThe 1.5 line

L10 · Over 1.5

Average
0.4
−1.1 vs line
Median
0
−1.5 vs line
Hit rate
10%
1 of 10
Price implies
45%
at +120
Books’ fair
—
no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
LineOverL10
−3802 books3/10
+1202 books1/10
+4202 books0/10
+13002 books0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“2+ shots on target”), with no Under to take.

Compare 2 sportsbooks at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over 1.5 Shots on Target, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5
DraftKings11 min ago+170Best
FanDuel11 min ago+120

Prices as of 9:22 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: +145 → +120 since first seen

Max Moerstedt's full game log and splits