Martin Adeline

Hamburg SV · M · #5

HSV v BMG · Tomorrow 2:30 PM

Over only0.5

Over 0.5 Shots on Target, typical price −1674 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

10%1 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Shots on Target cleared in 1 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).

vs BOU (Ligue 2), 2026-04-18: 0, missed
at ASSE (Ligue 2), 2026-04-25: 0, missed
vs SLFC (Ligue 2), 2026-05-02: 1, cleared
at DOR (Bundesliga), 2026-08-29: 0, missed
vs M05 (Bundesliga), 2026-09-06: 0, missed
vs KOE (Bundesliga), 2026-09-19: 0, missed
at TSG (Bundesliga), 2026-10-10: 0, missed
vs VFB (Bundesliga), 2026-10-17: 0, missed
at SCP (Bundesliga), 2026-10-24: 0, missed
at SGE (Bundesliga), 2026-11-01: 0, missed

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineL2 Ligue 2 · unmarked: Bundesliga

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 10%; 1 of 10
Price implies: 63%; at −167
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−1674 books	1/10
	+2504 books	0/10
	+14001 book	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“1+ shots on target”), with no Under to take.

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Shots on Target, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5
FanDuel6 min ago	−160Best
Bally Bet6 min ago	−167
betPARX6 min ago	−167
BetRivers6 min ago	−167

Prices as of 1:12 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: −160 → −167 since first seen

Martin Adeline's full game log and splits