Daniel Heuer Fernandes

Hamburg SV · G · #1

HSV v BMG · Tomorrow 2:30 PM

Over only2.5

Over 2.5 Saves, typical price −1541 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Saves cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

at SGE (Bundesliga), 2026-05-02: 4, cleared
vs SCF (Bundesliga), 2026-05-10: 1, missed
at DOR (Bundesliga), 2026-08-29: 5, cleared
vs M05 (Bundesliga), 2026-09-06: 3, cleared
at RBL (Bundesliga), 2026-09-13: 1, missed
vs KOE (Bundesliga), 2026-09-19: 4, cleared
at TSG (Bundesliga), 2026-10-10: 3, cleared
vs VFB (Bundesliga), 2026-10-17: 5, cleared
at SCP (Bundesliga), 2026-10-24: 5, cleared
at SGE (Bundesliga), 2026-11-01: 8, cleared

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 line

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 3.9; +1.4 vs line
Median: 4; +1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 61%; at −154
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−5001 book	8/10
	−1541 book	8/10
	+1601 book	6/10
	+3551 book	4/10
	+7251 book	1/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“3+ saves”), with no Under to take.

Compare 1 sportsbook at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 2.5 Saves, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5
Bovada6 min ago	−154Best

Prices as of 12:49 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over: No move since first seen

Daniel Heuer Fernandes's full game log and splits