Luiz Gustavo

Athletico-PR · M · #14

CAP v VAS · Live

Over only1.5

Over 1.5 Shots, typical price +2004 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

at BOT (Brazil), 2026-08-24: 0, missed
vs FLU (Brazil), 2026-08-30: 0, missed
at CRU (Brazil), 2026-09-06: 2, cleared
at CFC (Brazil), 2026-09-11: 2, cleared
vs BAH (Brazil), 2026-09-20: 0, missed
vs CAM (Brazil), 2026-10-08: 4, cleared
at CHA (Brazil), 2026-10-12: 2, cleared
vs PAL (Brazil), 2026-10-17: 2, cleared
at VIT (Brazil), 2026-10-24: 2, cleared
at GRE (Brazil), 2026-10-29: 0, missed

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 line

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 33%; at +200
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−2104 books	6/10
	+2004 books	6/10
	+6004 books	1/10
	+12001 book	1/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“2+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 1.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5
Bally Bet8 hr ago	+200Best
betPARX8 hr ago	+200Best
BetRivers8 hr ago	+200Best
FanDuel8 hr ago	+120

Prices as of 5:36 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: +190 → +200 since first seen

Luiz Gustavo's full game log and splits

This page last updated 5:38 PM ET.