Kerwin Vargas

Athletico-PR · F · #18

CAP v VAS · Today 5:30 PM

Over only1.5

Over 1.5 Shots, typical price −2154 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

30%3 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

vs ATL (MLS), 2026-07-22: 5, cleared
at RBNY (MLS), 2026-07-25: 0, missed
at SAN (Brazil), 2026-08-09: 0, missed
vs BRA (Brazil), 2026-08-15: 2, cleared
at BOT (Brazil), 2026-08-24: 0, missed
vs FLU (Brazil), 2026-08-30: 1, missed
at CRU (Brazil), 2026-09-06: 0, missed
vs BAH (Brazil), 2026-09-20: 1, missed
vs CAM (Brazil), 2026-10-08: 3, cleared
at GRE (Brazil), 2026-10-29: 0, missed

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 lineMLS MLS · unmarked: Brazil

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 0.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 68%; at −215
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−20004 books	5/10
	−2154 books	3/10
	−1051 book	2/10
	+2601 book	1/10
	+6501 book	1/10
	+15001 book	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“2+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 1.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5
Bally Bet5 min ago	−215Best
betPARX5 min ago	−215Best
BetRivers5 min ago	−215Best
FanDuel5 min ago	−300

Prices as of 4:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −205 → −215 since first seen

Kerwin Vargas's full game log and splits