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Dylan Borrero

Chapecoense · F · #11

CHA v VAS · Today 6:30 PM
Over only1.5
Over 1.5 Shots, typical price +1404 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 1.5

Historical hit rate

30%3 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

Games counted

Game log L10vs MIRShots0Miss
ClearedMissedThe 1.5 lineMLS MLS · unmarked: Brazil
Game-by-game results 10 games · 2024-09-07 – 2026-11-03

Past results describe this sample; they are not a forecast.

DateOpponentShotsWorkloadAt 1.5
2026-11-03vs MIR0—Miss
2026-09-12vs INT0—Miss
2026-08-30@ GRE0—Miss
2026-08-23vs SAO0—Miss
2024-10-19@ MIA1—Miss
2024-10-12@ CLB3—Hit
2024-10-05vs DC3—Hit
2024-09-21@ CLT0—Miss
2024-09-14@ ORL0—Miss
2024-09-07vs STL2—Hit

L10 · Over 1.5

Historical results

Average
0.9
−0.6 vs line
Median
0
−1.5 vs line
Past hit rate
30%
3 of 10

Price and estimates

Break-even chance
42%
at +140
Market estimate
—
no Under posted
What do these numbers mean?
Past hit rate
How often this line cleared in the games you selected. It describes those games, not the chance of the next one.
Break-even chance
The chance needed to break even at the displayed price over time.
Market estimate
The sportsbooks' estimated chance with their margin removed. It needs prices on both sides.

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
LineOverL10
−2954 books4/10
+1404 books3/10
+3904 books2/10
+9001 book0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“2+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over 1.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5
Bally Bet6 min ago+140Best
betPARX6 min ago+140Best
BetRivers6 min ago+140Best
FanDuel6 min ago−110

Prices as of 6:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

Line movementMain line 1.5

Over: +150 → +140 since first seen

Dylan Borrero's full game log and splits