Claudio Spinelli

Vasco da Gama · F · #77

CHA v VAS · Sat, Nov 14 6:30 PM

Over only3.5

Over 3.5 Shots, typical price −1083 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Shots cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (0 of 4 on the road).

at FLA (Brazil), 2026-05-03: 2, missed
vs CAP (Brazil), 2026-05-10: 5, cleared
vs BRA (Brazil), 2026-05-24: 5, cleared
vs CAM (Brazil), 2026-05-31: 5, cleared
at VIT (Brazil), 2026-07-16: 1, missed
vs MIR (Brazil), 2026-07-25: 5, cleared
at BAH (Brazil), 2026-08-09: 0, missed
vs SAN (Brazil), 2026-08-16: 3, missed
at FLU (Brazil), 2026-09-05: 1, missed
vs REMO (Brazil), 2026-10-10: 1, missed

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 line

L10 · Over 3.5

Average: 2.8; −0.7 vs line
Median: 2.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 52%; at −108
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−7703 books	6/10
	−2453 books	5/10
	−1083 books	4/10
	+1753 books	4/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“4+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 3.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5
Bally Bet7 min ago	−108Best
betPARX7 min ago	−108Best
BetRivers7 min ago	−108Best

Prices as of 6:27 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over: No move since first seen

Claudio Spinelli's full game log and splits