Thiago Almada

River Plate · M · #11

ALDO v RIV · Live

Over only0.5

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +2706 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

30%3 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

vs VEL (Argentina), 2026-08-23: 0, missed
at BAN (Argentina), 2026-08-30: 1, cleared
vs RIV (Argentina), 2026-09-06: 0, missed
at CAT (Argentina), 2026-09-12: 1, cleared
vs HUR (Argentina), 2026-09-19: 0, missed
vs AAE (Argentina), 2026-10-10: 0, missed
at SARM (Argentina), 2026-10-14: 0, missed
at BEL (Argentina), 2026-10-18: 1, cleared
vs RAC (Argentina), 2026-10-25: 0, missed
at CABJ (Argentina), 2026-11-01: 0, missed

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 line

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 27%; at +270
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	+2706 books	3/10
	+19005 books	0/10
	+150002 books	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“to score”), with no Under to take.

Compare 6 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5
FanDuel15 min ago	+300Best
DraftKings15 min ago	+290
Bally Bet15 min ago	+270
betPARX15 min ago	+270
BetRivers15 min ago	+270
Bovada14 min ago	+225

Prices as of 1:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: +280 → +270 since first seen

Thiago Almada's full game log and splits