Sebastian Valdez

Independiente · D · #36

IND v RIE · Tomorrow 5:15 PM

Over only0.5

Over 0.5 Shots on Target, typical price +2903 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

20%2 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Shots on Target cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (0 of 3 at home).

vs DYJ (Argentina), 2026-04-18: 0, missed
at RIE (Argentina), 2026-04-24: 0, missed
at SLO (Argentina), 2026-05-02: 0, missed
at ROS (Argentina), 2026-05-10: 1, cleared
at EST (Argentina), 2026-07-26: 1, cleared
vs NOB (Argentina), 2026-07-30: 0, missed
at TALL (Argentina), 2026-10-11: 0, missed
at RAC (Argentina), 2026-10-18: 0, missed
vs CABJ (Argentina), 2026-10-25: 0, missed
at DYJ (Argentina), 2026-11-02: 0, missed

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 line

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 26%; at +290
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	+2903 books	2/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“1+ shots on target”), with no Under to take.

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Shots on Target, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5
Bally Bet7 min ago	+290Best
betPARX7 min ago	+290Best
BetRivers7 min ago	+290Best

Prices as of 8:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: +300 → +290 since first seen

Sebastian Valdez's full game log and splits