Matías Hernández

Banfield · F · #44

BAN v CAT · Fri, Nov 6 8:00 PM

Over only0.5

Over 0.5 Shots on Target, typical price −1253 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

20%2 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Shots on Target cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (0 of 4 at home).

at CTR (Argentina), 2025-11-22: 0, missed
at PLA (Argentina), 2026-04-24: 1, cleared
at LAN (Argentina), 2026-07-25: 0, missed
at NOB (Argentina), 2026-08-22: 0, missed
vs RIV (Argentina), 2026-08-30: 0, missed
at ALDO (Argentina), 2026-09-05: 2, cleared
vs BAR (Argentina), 2026-09-14: 0, missed
at GLP (Argentina), 2026-09-19: 0, missed
vs ROS (Argentina), 2026-10-05: 0, missed
vs ARGJ (Argentina), 2026-10-17: 0, missed

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 line

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 56%; at −125
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−1253 books	2/10
	+3503 books	1/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“1+ shots on target”), with no Under to take.

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Shots on Target, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5
Bally Bet10 min ago	−125Best
betPARX10 min ago	−125Best
BetRivers10 min ago	−125Best

Prices as of 11:27 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: No move since first seen

Matías Hernández's full game log and splits