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Aston Villa, this season at 90 minutes: 2W 4D 3L against Birmingham, this season at 90 minutes: 1W 3D 5L

Women's Super League · Sun, Nov 15 9:00 AM ET

Aston Villa
+12242%
Draw
+26525%
Birmingham
+18033%

90 minutes · 3 sportsbooks · Total 2.5: Over −195 Under +130

The market makes Aston Villa 42% / draw 25% / Birmingham 33%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (3 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Aston VillaDrawBirmingham
+12242%+26525%+18033%

Total goals3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
2.5most posted−19561%+13039%
31 sportsbook−112no fair chance−110no fair chance
3.52 sportsbooks+12840%−18060%

Both teams to score1 sportsbook

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−235no fair chance+155no fair chance

Draw no bet1 sportsbook

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Aston VillaBirmingham
−155no fair chance+106no fair chance

Double chance2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Aston Villa or drawAston Villa or BirminghamDraw or Birmingham
−27867%−42075%−18258%

Asian handicap3 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapAston VillaBirmingham
AVL −0.5most posted+11642%−16558%
AVL −0.25quarter line−103no fair chance−117no fair chance
AVL +0.51 sportsbook−234no fair chance+174no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 3 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookAston VillaDrawBirminghamRead
BetRivers+123+255+1808 min ago
DraftKings+115+265+1708 min ago
Pinnacle+122+277+1818 min ago
Total goals 2.5
SportsbookOver 2.5Under 2.5Read
DraftKings−195+1308 min ago
Pinnacle−184+1378 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetRivers−235+1558 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookAston VillaBirminghamRead
BetRivers−155+1068 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookAston Villa or drawAston Villa or BirminghamDraw or BirminghamRead
BetRivers−278−420−1828 min ago
Pinnacle−232−375−1538 min ago
Asian handicap −0.5
SportsbookAston Villa −0.5Birmingham +0.5Read
BetRivers+116−1678 min ago
DraftKings+110−1658 min ago
Pinnacle+120−1518 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 1:12 AM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026–27), every competition, at 90 minutes
AVLWhatBIR
Aston Villa, 2W 2D 1L:
  1. Drew 1–1 at home to Crystal Palace, Women's Super League, Oct 4
  2. Won 2–1 at home to Liverpool, Women's Super League, Oct 18
  3. Won 3–2 away to Everton, Women's Super League, Oct 25
  4. Drew 1–1 away to Arsenal, Women's Super League, Nov 1
  5. Lost 0–1 at home to Manchester United, Women's Super League, Nov 8
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Birmingham, 1W 1D 3L:
  1. Lost 1–2 away to Everton, Women's Super League, Oct 4
  2. Drew 1–1 away to Arsenal, Women's Super League, Oct 17
  3. Won 1–0 at home to Charlton Athletic, Women's Super League, Oct 25
  4. Lost 1–4 at home to Tottenham Hotspur, Women's Super League, Nov 1
  5. Lost 1–4 away to London City Lionesses, Women's Super League, Nov 8
2–4–3, 9 gamesWon–drawn–lost1–3–5, 9 games
1.1, 9 gamesGoals scored a game1.2, 9 games
1.8, 9 gamesGoals allowed a game2.3, 9 games
6.8, 9 games; allowed 23.6Shots a game11.1, 9 games; allowed 20.6
3.0, 9 games; allowed 7.6Shots on target a game3.6, 9 games; allowed 7.6
41%, 9 gamesPossession36%, 9 games
2.8, 9 games; allowed 7.4Corners a game4.0, 9 games; allowed 8.0
6.8, 9 games; allowed 6.9Fouls a game9.6, 9 games; allowed 11.0
0.8, 9 games; allowed 0.7Yellow cards a game0.9, 9 games; allowed 1.6

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

How the prices moved

the typical price since our first read, each outcome

Result (90 min)

Aston Villa +115 → +122 since first seen

  • Aston Villa+115 → +122
  • Draw+255 → +265
  • Birmingham+175 → +180

Both teams to score

No move since first seen

  • Yes−235 → −235
  • No+155 → +155

Draw no bet

No move since first seen

  • Aston Villa−155 → −155
  • Birmingham+106 → +106

Double chance

No move since first seen

  • Aston Villa or draw−278 → −278
  • Aston Villa or Birmingham−420 → −420
  • Draw or Birmingham−182 → −182

Player lines

none posted yet

Research, not picks

No player lines posted for this match yet. Books post most of them a day or two before kickoff.