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Louisville, this season at 90 minutes: 13W 9D 9L against Miami FC, this season at 90 minutes: 9W 10D 12L

USL Championship · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET

Louisville
−23566%
Draw
+37018%
Miami FC
+42516%

90 minutes · 2 sportsbooks · Total 3.5: Over −105 Under −150

The market makes Louisville 66% / draw 18% / Miami FC 16%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (2 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
LouisvilleDrawMiami FC
−23566%+37018%+42516%

Total goals2 sportsbooks

The market moved toward the Under 3.5 since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
1.51 sportsbook−769no fair chance+466no fair chance
2.51 sportsbook−237no fair chance+177no fair chance
3.25quarter line−112no fair chance−110no fair chance
3.5most posted−10545%−15055%
4.51 sportsbook+253no fair chance−356no fair chance
5.51 sportsbook+549no fair chance−959no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Double chance1 sportsbook

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Louisville or drawLouisville or Miami FCDraw or Miami FC
−72284%−59682%+17934%

Asian handicap2 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapLouisvilleMiami FC
LOU −1.5most posted+11043%−16557%
LOU −1.25quarter line−106no fair chance−114no fair chance
LOU −0.51 sportsbook−237no fair chance+181no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 2 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookLouisvilleDrawMiami FCRead
DraftKings−235+370+42510 min ago
Pinnacle−233+408+47810 min ago
Total goals 3.5
SportsbookOver 3.5Under 3.5Read
DraftKings−105−15010 min ago
Pinnacle+111−14010 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookLouisville or drawLouisville or Miami FCDraw or Miami FCRead
Pinnacle−722−596+17910 min ago
Asian handicap −1.5
SportsbookLouisville −1.5Miami FC +1.5Read
DraftKings+110−16510 min ago
Pinnacle+118−14610 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 7:37 AM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026), every competition, at 90 minutes
LOUWhatMIA
Louisville, 3W 2D 0L:
  1. Won 2–0 away to Charleston Battery, USL Championship, Oct 10
  2. Won 4–1 at home to Indy Eleven, USL Championship, Oct 17
  3. Won 2–0 away to Sporting JAX, USL Championship, Oct 21
  4. Drew 0–0 at home to Detroit City FC, USL Championship, Oct 24
  5. Drew 0–0 at home to Pittsburgh Riverhounds, USL Championship, Oct 30
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Miami FC, 2W 1D 2L:
  1. Won 4–1 at home to Sporting JAX, USL Championship, Sep 30
  2. Won 2–1 away to Tampa Bay Rowdies, USL Championship, Oct 3
  3. Lost 0–2 at home to Loudoun United FC, USL Championship, Oct 10
  4. Lost 1–2 at home to Charleston Battery, USL Championship, Oct 17
  5. Drew 1–1 away to Tampa Bay Rowdies, USL Championship, Oct 30
13–9–9, 31 gamesWon–drawn–lost9–10–12, 31 games
1.6, 31 gamesGoals scored a game1.3, 31 games
1.4, 31 gamesGoals allowed a game1.6, 31 games
15.1, 31 games; allowed 10.5Shots a game11.7, 31 games; allowed 14.0
5.0, 31 games; allowed 3.6Shots on target a game4.3, 31 games; allowed 4.6
51%, 31 gamesPossession50%, 31 games
6.9, 31 games; allowed 3.4Corners a game3.5, 31 games; allowed 5.6
12.7, 31 games; allowed 11.1Fouls a game15.9, 31 games; allowed 14.5
1.9, 31 games; allowed 2.0Yellow cards a game2.9, 31 games; allowed 2.0

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

Player lines

none posted yet

Research, not picks

No player lines posted for this match yet. Books post most of them a day or two before kickoff.