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Louisville, this season at 90 minutes: 13W 9D 9L against Miami FC, this season at 90 minutes: 9W 10D 12L

USL Championship · Sat, Nov 7 7:00 PM ET

Louisville
−23566%
Draw
+37018%
Miami FC
+43016%

90 minutes · 3 sportsbooks · Total 3.5: Over −103 Under −150

The market makes Louisville 66% / draw 18% / Miami FC 16%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (3 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
LouisvilleDrawMiami FC
−23566%+37018%+43016%

Total goals3 sportsbooks

The market moved toward the Under 3.5 since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
1.51 sportsbook−784no fair chance+458no fair chance
2.51 sportsbook−239no fair chance+176no fair chance
3.25quarter line−113no fair chance−111no fair chance
3.5most posted−10345%−15055%
4.51 sportsbook+250no fair chance−361no fair chance
5.51 sportsbook+539no fair chance−980no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Both teams to score1 sportsbook

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−190no fair chance+130no fair chance

Draw no bet1 sportsbook

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
LouisvilleMiami FC
−625no fair chance+300no fair chance

Double chance2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Louisville or drawLouisville or Miami FCDraw or Miami FC
−111584%−77082%+13334%

Asian handicap2 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapLouisvilleMiami FC
LOU −1.5most posted+11043%−16557%
LOU −1.25quarter line−107no fair chance−115no fair chance
LOU −0.51 sportsbook−240no fair chance+180no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 3 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookLouisvilleDrawMiami FCRead
BetRivers−235+335+4305 min ago
DraftKings−235+370+4255 min ago
Pinnacle−233+408+4785 min ago
Total goals 3.5
SportsbookOver 3.5Under 3.5Read
BetRivers−103−1505 min ago
DraftKings−105−1505 min ago
Pinnacle+110−1415 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetRivers−190+1305 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookLouisvilleMiami FCRead
BetRivers−625+3005 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookLouisville or drawLouisville or Miami FCDraw or Miami FCRead
BetRivers−1115−770+1335 min ago
Pinnacle−737−607+1785 min ago
Asian handicap −1.5
SportsbookLouisville −1.5Miami FC +1.5Read
DraftKings+110−1655 min ago
Pinnacle+117−1485 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 9:12 AM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026), every competition, at 90 minutes
LOUWhatMIA
Louisville, 3W 2D 0L:
  1. Won 2–0 away to Charleston Battery, USL Championship, Oct 10
  2. Won 4–1 at home to Indy Eleven, USL Championship, Oct 17
  3. Won 2–0 away to Sporting JAX, USL Championship, Oct 21
  4. Drew 0–0 at home to Detroit City FC, USL Championship, Oct 24
  5. Drew 0–0 at home to Pittsburgh Riverhounds, USL Championship, Oct 30
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Miami FC, 2W 1D 2L:
  1. Won 4–1 at home to Sporting JAX, USL Championship, Sep 30
  2. Won 2–1 away to Tampa Bay Rowdies, USL Championship, Oct 3
  3. Lost 0–2 at home to Loudoun United FC, USL Championship, Oct 10
  4. Lost 1–2 at home to Charleston Battery, USL Championship, Oct 17
  5. Drew 1–1 away to Tampa Bay Rowdies, USL Championship, Oct 30
13–9–9, 31 gamesWon–drawn–lost9–10–12, 31 games
1.6, 31 gamesGoals scored a game1.3, 31 games
1.4, 31 gamesGoals allowed a game1.6, 31 games
15.1, 31 games; allowed 10.5Shots a game11.7, 31 games; allowed 14.0
5.0, 31 games; allowed 3.6Shots on target a game4.3, 31 games; allowed 4.6
51%, 31 gamesPossession50%, 31 games
6.9, 31 games; allowed 3.4Corners a game3.5, 31 games; allowed 5.6
12.7, 31 games; allowed 11.1Fouls a game15.9, 31 games; allowed 14.5
1.9, 31 games; allowed 2.0Yellow cards a game2.9, 31 games; allowed 2.0

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

Player lines

none posted yet

Research, not picks

No player lines posted for this match yet. Books post most of them a day or two before kickoff.