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Sturm Graz, this season at 90 minutes: 1W 1D 1L against NK Celje, this season at 90 minutes: 0W 1D 2L

Europa League · Thu, Nov 5 3:00 PM ET

Sturm Graz
−18562%
Draw
+33321%
NK Celje
+45017%

90 minutes · 5 sportsbooks · Total 2.5: Over −175 Under +136

The market makes Sturm Graz 62% / draw 21% / NK Celje 17%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (5 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)5 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Sturm GrazDrawNK Celje
−18562%+33321%+45017%

Total goals5 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
1.51 sportsbook−584no fair chance+394no fair chance
2.5most posted−17561%+13639%
32 sportsbooks−10950%−10950%
3.51 sportsbook+142no fair chance−177no fair chance
4.51 sportsbook+323no fair chance−458no fair chance

Both teams to score3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−15557%+11243%

Draw no bet2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Sturm GrazNK Celje
−48179%+31321%

Double chance3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Sturm Graz or drawSturm Graz or NK CeljeDraw or NK Celje
−65083%−47679%+13838%

Asian handicap4 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapSturm GrazNK Celje
STG −1.52 sportsbooks+13839%−17961%
STG −1most posted−11551%−10549%
STG −0.51 sportsbook−191no fair chance+155no fair chance

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 5 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookSturm GrazDrawNK CeljeRead
BetMGM−175+333+4256 min ago
BetRivers−180+325+4606 min ago
Bovada−190+330+4405 min ago
DraftKings−185+360+45015 min ago
Pinnacle−187+354+4536 min ago
Total goals 2.5
SportsbookOver 2.5Under 2.5Read
BetMGM−185+1306 min ago
BetRivers−167+1326 min ago
DraftKings−175+14015 min ago
Pinnacle−176+1426 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetMGM−160+1106 min ago
BetRivers−155+1126 min ago
Pinnacle−152+1236 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookSturm GrazNK CeljeRead
BetRivers−500+2906 min ago
Pinnacle−463+3396 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookSturm Graz or drawSturm Graz or NK CeljeDraw or NK CeljeRead
BetMGM−650−475+1356 min ago
BetRivers−715−480+1386 min ago
Pinnacle−632−476+1556 min ago
Asian handicap −1
SportsbookSturm Graz −1NK Celje +1Read
BetRivers−115−1146 min ago
Bovada−115−1055 min ago
Pinnacle−114−1026 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 11:22 PM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026–27), every competition, at 90 minutes
STGWhatNKC
Sturm Graz, 1W 1D 1L:
  1. Drew 0–0 at home to Stade Rennais, Europa League, Sep 16
  2. Lost 0–3 away to AFC Bournemouth, Europa League, Oct 15
  3. Won 1–0 at home to Marseille, Europa League, Oct 22
Last 5 · oldest to newest
NK Celje, 0W 1D 2L:
  1. Lost 0–2 away to Bayer Leverkusen, Europa League, Sep 16
  2. Lost 0–3 at home to Omonia Nicosia, Europa League, Oct 15
  3. Drew 2–2 at home to RB Salzburg, Europa League, Oct 22
1–1–1, 3 gamesWon–drawn–lost0–1–2, 3 games
0.3, 3 gamesGoals scored a game0.7, 3 games
1.0, 3 gamesGoals allowed a game2.3, 3 games
10.0, 3 games; allowed 20.0Shots a game9.0, 3 games; allowed 15.3
3.3, 3 games; allowed 4.3Shots on target a game2.7, 3 games; allowed 6.0
35%, 3 gamesPossession52%, 3 games
3.3, 3 games; allowed 5.0Corners a game2.3, 3 games; allowed 5.0
17.7, 3 games; allowed 8.7Fouls a game11.0, 3 games; allowed 11.7
2.7, 3 games; allowed 2.0Yellow cards a game2.0, 3 games; allowed 1.3

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

How the prices moved

the typical price since our first read, each outcome

Result (90 min)

Draw +344 → +333 since first seen

  • Sturm Graz−182 → −185
  • Draw+344 → +333
  • NK Celje+451 → +450

Both teams to score

No move since first seen

  • Yes−155 → −155
  • No+112 → +112

Draw no bet

No move since first seen

  • Sturm Graz−481 → −481
  • NK Celje+313 → +313

Double chance

No move since first seen

  • Sturm Graz or draw−650 → −650
  • Sturm Graz or NK Celje−476 → −476
  • Draw or NK Celje+138 → +138