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Benfica, this season at 90 minutes: 11W 1D 1L against Lech Poznan, this season at 90 minutes: 0W 1D 2L

Europa League · Tomorrow 3:00 PM ET

Benfica
−71584%
Draw
+72511%
Lech Poznan
+13005%

90 minutes · 4 sportsbooks · Total 3.5: Over −142 Under +100

The market makes Benfica 84% / draw 11% / Lech Poznan 5%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (4 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
BenficaDrawLech Poznan
−71584%+72511%+13005%

Total goals4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
2.51 sportsbook−362no fair chance+207no fair chance
3.5most posted−14254%+10046%
3.75quarter line−108no fair chance−131no fair chance
4.51 sportsbook+170no fair chance−281no fair chance
5.51 sportsbook+347no fair chance−765no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Both teams to score2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−12048%−14552%

Draw no bet2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
BenficaLech Poznan
−1000094%+9176%

Double chance2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Benfica or drawBenfica or Lech PoznanDraw or Lech Poznan
−1000095%−143089%+37516%

Asian handicap4 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapBenficaLech Poznan
SLB −2.5most posted−10447%−13553%
SLB −2.25quarter line−12452%−11348%
SLB −1.51 sportsbook−252no fair chance+158no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 4 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookBenficaDrawLech PoznanRead
BetRivers−715+750+16008 min ago
Bovada−800+725+14007 min ago
DraftKings−650+750+13008 min ago
Pinnacle−688+556+10718 min ago
Total goals 3.5
SportsbookOver 3.5Under 3.5Read
BetRivers−143+1148 min ago
Bovada−122+1027 min ago
DraftKings−125+1008 min ago
Pinnacle−142−1088 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetRivers−120−1178 min ago
Pinnacle−102−1458 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookBenficaLech PoznanRead
BetRivers−10000+10008 min ago
Pinnacle−3039+9178 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookBenfica or drawBenfica or Lech PoznanDraw or Lech PoznanRead
BetRivers−10000−1430+4508 min ago
Pinnacle−3614−1221+3758 min ago
Asian handicap −2.5
SportsbookBenfica −2.5Lech Poznan +2.5Read
BetRivers−105−1278 min ago
DraftKings+100−1358 min ago
Pinnacle−104−1468 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 1:32 AM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026–27), every competition, at 90 minutes
SLBWhatLECH
Benfica, 5W 0D 0L:
  1. Won 2–0 at home to Vitória de Guimaraes, Primeira Liga, Oct 11
  2. Won 4–1 at home to Celtic, Europa League, Oct 15
  3. Won 4–1 away to Omonia Nicosia, Europa League, Oct 22
  4. Won 2–1 away to Santa Clara, Primeira Liga, Oct 26
  5. Won 1–0 at home to Alverca, Primeira Liga, Nov 2
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Lech Poznan, 0W 1D 2L:
  1. Lost 0–4 away to Crystal Palace, Europa League, Sep 17
  2. Lost 0–4 at home to Bayer Leverkusen, Europa League, Oct 15
  3. Drew 1–1 at home to Sunderland, Europa League, Oct 22
11–1–1, 13 gamesWon–drawn–lost0–1–2, 3 games
2.8, 13 gamesGoals scored a game0.3, 3 games
0.8, 13 gamesGoals allowed a game3.0, 3 games
18.9, 13 games; allowed 9.2Shots a game14.3, 3 games; allowed 21.0
6.4, 13 games; allowed 3.3Shots on target a game5.0, 3 games; allowed 9.0
61%, 13 gamesPossession43%, 3 games
6.7, 13 games; allowed 3.5Corners a game4.0, 3 games; allowed 5.7
11.8, 13 games; allowed 15.2Fouls a game6.3, 3 games; allowed 13.3
2.5, 13 games; allowed 2.5Yellow cards a game0.3, 3 games; allowed 1.0

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

How the prices moved

the typical price since our first read, each outcome

Result (90 min)

Lech Poznan +1400 → +1300 since first seen

  • Benfica−715 → −715
  • Draw+700 → +725
  • Lech Poznan+1400 → +1300

Both teams to score

No move since first seen

  • Yes−120 → −120
  • No−145 → −145

Draw no bet

No move since first seen

  • Benfica−10000 → −10000
  • Lech Poznan+917 → +917

Double chance

No move since first seen

  • Benfica or draw−10000 → −10000
  • Benfica or Lech Poznan−1430 → −1430
  • Draw or Lech Poznan+375 → +375