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Milan, this season at 90 minutes: 7W 3D 3L against Ferencvaros, this season at 90 minutes: 3W 0D 0L

Europa League · Tomorrow 12:45 PM ET

Milan
−32573%
Draw
+42517%
Ferencvaros
+77510%

90 minutes · 5 sportsbooks · Total 3.5: Over +123 Under −180

The market makes Milan 73% / draw 17% / Ferencvaros 10%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (5 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)5 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
MilanDrawFerencvaros
−32573%+42517%+77510%

Total goals5 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
1.51 sportsbook−784no fair chance+361no fair chance
2.51 sportsbook−212no fair chance+136no fair chance
32 sportsbooks−13052%−10748%
3.5most posted+12341%−18059%
4.51 sportsbook+267no fair chance−500no fair chance

Both teams to score3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−12250%−11850%

Draw no bet2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
MilanFerencvaros
−143088%+51112%

Double chance3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Milan or drawMilan or FerencvarosDraw or Ferencvaros
−143890%−71883%+22527%

Asian handicap4 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapMilanFerencvaros
MIL −2.51 sportsbook+204no fair chance−334no fair chance
MIL −1.75quarter line−103no fair chance−127no fair chance
MIL −1.5most posted−12451%−11049%
MIL −0.51 sportsbook−362no fair chance+218no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 5 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookMilanDrawFerencvarosRead
BetMGM−300+425+7758 min ago
BetRivers−360+475+9008 min ago
Bovada−325+420+7758 min ago
DraftKings−310+450+7509 min ago
Pinnacle−344+390+6308 min ago
Total goals 3.5
SportsbookOver 3.5Under 3.5Read
BetMGM+130−1858 min ago
BetRivers+123−1578 min ago
DraftKings+130−1609 min ago
Pinnacle+117−1808 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetMGM−118−1208 min ago
BetRivers−122−1148 min ago
Pinnacle−122−1188 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookMilanFerencvarosRead
BetRivers−1430+5408 min ago
Pinnacle−1083+5118 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookMilan or drawMilan or FerencvarosDraw or FerencvarosRead
BetMGM−1400−625+2258 min ago
BetRivers−2000−770+2508 min ago
Pinnacle−1438−718+2218 min ago
Asian handicap −1.5
SportsbookMilan −1.5Ferencvaros +1.5Read
Bovada−115−1058 min ago
DraftKings−125−1109 min ago
Pinnacle−124−1108 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 1:27 AM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026–27), every competition, at 90 minutes
MILWhatFER
Milan, 3W 0D 2L:
  1. Won 3–2 at home to Atalanta, Serie A, Oct 18
  2. Lost 0–3 away to AFC Bournemouth, Europa League, Oct 22
  3. Won 2–0 away to Udinese, Serie A, Oct 25
  4. Lost 2–4 at home to Bologna, Serie A, Oct 28
  5. Won 3–1 at home to Internazionale, Serie A, Oct 31
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Ferencvaros, 3W 0D 0L:
  1. Won 3–1 away to Celtic, Europa League, Sep 17
  2. Won 2–1 at home to Viktoria Plzen, Europa League, Oct 15
  3. Won 4–1 at home to Torreense, Europa League, Oct 22
7–3–3, 13 gamesWon–drawn–lost3–0–0, 3 games
1.9, 13 gamesGoals scored a game3.0, 3 games
1.3, 13 gamesGoals allowed a game1.0, 3 games
11.9, 13 games; allowed 11.7Shots a game13.3, 3 games; allowed 14.0
4.7, 13 games; allowed 4.3Shots on target a game5.7, 3 games; allowed 5.0
56%, 13 gamesPossession49%, 3 games
3.5, 13 games; allowed 3.9Corners a game5.7, 3 games; allowed 6.0
10.5, 13 games; allowed 12.9Fouls a game14.3, 3 games; allowed 14.7
1.7, 13 games; allowed 1.7Yellow cards a game3.0, 3 games; allowed 1.0

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

How the prices moved

the typical price since our first read, each outcome

Result (90 min)

No move since first seen

  • Milan−325 → −325
  • Draw+425 → +425
  • Ferencvaros+775 → +775

Both teams to score

No −119 → −118 since first seen

  • Yes−123 → −122
  • No−119 → −118

Draw no bet

Milan −1250 → −1430 since first seen

  • Milan−1250 → −1430
  • Ferencvaros+504 → +511

Double chance

Milan or Ferencvaros −715 → −718 since first seen

  • Milan or draw−1446 → −1438
  • Milan or Ferencvaros−715 → −718
  • Draw or Ferencvaros+225 → +225