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Midtjylland, this season at 90 minutes: 0W 1D 1L against Ajax, this season at 90 minutes: 8W 3D 2L

Conference League · Thu, Nov 5 12:45 PM ET

Midtjylland
+16035%
Draw
+26525%
Ajax
+13540%

90 minutes · 4 sportsbooks · Total 3.5: Over +119 Under −160

The market makes Midtjylland 35% / draw 25% / Ajax 40%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (4 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
MidtjyllandDrawAjax
+16035%+26525%+13540%

Total goals4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
1.51 sportsbook−713no fair chance+447no fair chance
2.51 sportsbook−211no fair chance+161no fair chance
31 sportsbook−132no fair chance+102no fair chance
3.25quarter line−102no fair chance−118no fair chance
3.5most posted+11943%−16057%
4.51 sportsbook+266no fair chance−373no fair chance
5.51 sportsbook+572no fair chance−990no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Both teams to score3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−23567%+16534%

Draw no bet2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
MidtjyllandAjax
−10247%−13353%

Double chance3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Midtjylland or drawMidtjylland or AjaxDraw or Ajax
−18260%−37975%−22065%

Asian handicap3 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapMidtjyllandAjax
MID −0.51 sportsbook+158no fair chance−198no fair chance
MID 0most posted−10248%−12152%
MID +0.25quarter line−132no fair chance−105no fair chance
MID +0.51 sportsbook−180no fair chance+144no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 4 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookMidtjyllandDrawAjaxRead
BetMGM+160+260+1308 min ago
BetRivers+170+255+1258 min ago
Bovada+160+270+1407 min ago
Pinnacle+159+284+1468 min ago
Total goals 3.5
SportsbookOver 3.5Under 3.5Read
BetMGM+110−1608 min ago
BetRivers+120−1628 min ago
Pinnacle+119−1508 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetMGM−235+1658 min ago
BetRivers−235+1638 min ago
Pinnacle−234+1818 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookMidtjyllandAjaxRead
BetRivers+102−1488 min ago
Pinnacle−106−1198 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookMidtjylland or drawMidtjylland or AjaxDraw or AjaxRead
BetMGM−185−375−2208 min ago
BetRivers−175−385−2458 min ago
Pinnacle−182−379−2008 min ago
Asian handicap PK
SportsbookMidtjylland PKAjax PKRead
Bovada−102−1287 min ago
Pinnacle−103−1158 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 11:17 PM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026–27), every competition, at 90 minutes
MIDWhatAJA
Midtjylland, 0W 1D 1L:
  1. Drew 1–1 away to Egnatia, Conference League, Oct 15
  2. Lost 0–1 at home to Sint-Truidense, Conference League, Oct 22
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Ajax, 4W 0D 1L:
  1. Lost 1–2 away to Hajduk Split, Conference League, Oct 15
  2. Won 5–2 away to FC Groningen, Eredivisie, Oct 18
  3. Won 2–0 at home to Atalanta, Conference League, Oct 22
  4. Won 2–1 away to Sparta Rotterdam, Eredivisie, Oct 25
  5. Won 1–0 at home to AZ Alkmaar, Eredivisie, Oct 31
0–1–1, 2 gamesWon–drawn–lost8–3–2, 13 games
0.5, 2 gamesGoals scored a game2.5, 13 games
1.0, 2 gamesGoals allowed a game1.2, 13 games
16.0, 2 games; allowed 15.0Shots a game20.3, 13 games; allowed 11.6
4.5, 2 games; allowed 6.0Shots on target a game6.8, 13 games; allowed 4.2
45%, 2 gamesPossession61%, 13 games
6.0, 2 games; allowed 4.5Corners a game6.2, 13 games; allowed 4.0
13.0, 2 games; allowed 11.0Fouls a game9.7, 13 games; allowed 11.2
0.5, 2 games; allowed 1.5Yellow cards a game1.8, 13 games; allowed 1.7

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

How the prices moved

the typical price since our first read, each outcome

Result (90 min)

Ajax +130 → +135 since first seen

  • Midtjylland+160 → +160
  • Draw+260 → +265
  • Ajax+130 → +135

Both teams to score

No move since first seen

  • Yes−235 → −235
  • No+165 → +165

Draw no bet

No move since first seen

  • Midtjylland−102 → −102
  • Ajax−133 → −133

Double chance

No move since first seen

  • Midtjylland or draw−182 → −182
  • Midtjylland or Ajax−379 → −379
  • Draw or Ajax−220 → −220