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Midtjylland, this season at 90 minutes: 0W 1D 1L against Ajax, this season at 90 minutes: 8W 3D 2L

Conference League · Tomorrow 12:45 PM ET

Midtjylland
+16035%
Draw
+26025%
Ajax
+13040%

90 minutes · 4 sportsbooks · Total 3.5: Over +120 Under −160

The market makes Midtjylland 35% / draw 25% / Ajax 40%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (4 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
MidtjyllandDrawAjax
+16035%+26025%+13040%

Total goals4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
1.51 sportsbook−699no fair chance+454no fair chance
2.51 sportsbook−209no fair chance+163no fair chance
31 sportsbook−132no fair chance+102no fair chance
3.25quarter line−101no fair chance−117no fair chance
3.5most posted+12042%−16058%
4.51 sportsbook+269no fair chance−368no fair chance
5.51 sportsbook+583no fair chance−968no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Both teams to score3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−23566%+16534%

Draw no bet2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
MidtjyllandAjax
−10547%−14853%

Double chance3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Midtjylland or drawMidtjylland or AjaxDraw or Ajax
−18060%−37575%−22065%

Asian handicap3 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapMidtjyllandAjax
MID −0.51 sportsbook+159no fair chance−196no fair chance
MID 0most posted−10248%−12852%
MID +0.25quarter line−134no fair chance−104no fair chance
MID +0.51 sportsbook−178no fair chance+145no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 4 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookMidtjyllandDrawAjaxRead
BetMGM+160+260+1305 min ago
BetRivers+170+255+1255 min ago
Bovada+165+270+1405 min ago
Pinnacle+159+284+1465 min ago
Total goals 3.5
SportsbookOver 3.5Under 3.5Read
BetMGM+110−1605 min ago
BetRivers+123−1655 min ago
Pinnacle+120−1485 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetMGM−235+1655 min ago
BetRivers−235+1635 min ago
Pinnacle−231+1825 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookMidtjyllandAjaxRead
BetRivers+100−1485 min ago
Pinnacle−105−1185 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookMidtjylland or drawMidtjylland or AjaxDraw or AjaxRead
BetMGM−185−375−2205 min ago
BetRivers−175−385−2405 min ago
Pinnacle−180−373−1985 min ago
Asian handicap PK
SportsbookMidtjylland PKAjax PKRead
Bovada−102−1285 min ago
Pinnacle−102−1145 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 1:42 AM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026–27), every competition, at 90 minutes
MIDWhatAJA
Midtjylland, 0W 1D 1L:
  1. Drew 1–1 away to Egnatia, Conference League, Oct 15
  2. Lost 0–1 at home to Sint-Truidense, Conference League, Oct 22
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Ajax, 4W 0D 1L:
  1. Lost 1–2 away to Hajduk Split, Conference League, Oct 15
  2. Won 5–2 away to FC Groningen, Eredivisie, Oct 18
  3. Won 2–0 at home to Atalanta, Conference League, Oct 22
  4. Won 2–1 away to Sparta Rotterdam, Eredivisie, Oct 25
  5. Won 1–0 at home to AZ Alkmaar, Eredivisie, Oct 31
0–1–1, 2 gamesWon–drawn–lost8–3–2, 13 games
0.5, 2 gamesGoals scored a game2.5, 13 games
1.0, 2 gamesGoals allowed a game1.2, 13 games
16.0, 2 games; allowed 15.0Shots a game20.3, 13 games; allowed 11.6
4.5, 2 games; allowed 6.0Shots on target a game6.8, 13 games; allowed 4.2
45%, 2 gamesPossession61%, 13 games
6.0, 2 games; allowed 4.5Corners a game6.2, 13 games; allowed 4.0
13.0, 2 games; allowed 11.0Fouls a game9.7, 13 games; allowed 11.2
0.5, 2 games; allowed 1.5Yellow cards a game1.8, 13 games; allowed 1.7

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

How the prices moved

the typical price since our first read, each outcome

Result (90 min)

No move since first seen

  • Midtjylland+160 → +160
  • Draw+260 → +260
  • Ajax+130 → +130

Both teams to score

No move since first seen

  • Yes−235 → −235
  • No+165 → +165

Draw no bet

Midtjylland −106 → −105 since first seen

  • Midtjylland−106 → −105
  • Ajax−148 → −148

Double chance

Midtjylland or draw −182 → −180 since first seen

  • Midtjylland or draw−182 → −180
  • Midtjylland or Ajax−379 → −375
  • Draw or Ajax−220 → −220