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Villarreal, this season at 90 minutes: 4W 3D 8L against PSG, this season at 90 minutes: 10W 2D 1L

Champions League · Final

Final. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged. It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

closed at kickoff

The lines closed at kickoff.

Side by side

this season (2026–27), every competition, at 90 minutes
VILWhatPSG
Villarreal, 1W 1D 3L:
  1. Drew 0–0 at home to Elche, La Liga, Oct 17
  2. Lost 3–4 away to Liverpool, Champions League, Oct 20
  3. Won 2–1 away to Valencia, La Liga, Oct 24
  4. Lost 0–1 at home to Espanyol, La Liga, Oct 30
  5. Lost 0–6 at home to Paris Saint-Germain, Champions League, Nov 3
Last 5 · oldest to newest
PSG, 5W 0D 0L:
  1. Won 3–1 away to Strasbourg, Ligue 1, Oct 17
  2. Won 4–2 at home to Barcelona, Champions League, Oct 20
  3. Won 2–0 at home to Lyon, Ligue 1, Oct 26
  4. Won 5–1 away to Le Havre AC, Ligue 1, Oct 30
  5. Won 6–0 away to Villarreal, Champions League, Nov 3
4–3–8, 15 gamesWon–drawn–lost10–2–1, 13 games
1.5, 15 gamesGoals scored a game3.2, 13 games
1.9, 15 gamesGoals allowed a game1.2, 13 games
15.9, 15 games; allowed 13.0Shots a game20.9, 13 games; allowed 12.8
5.4, 15 games; allowed 4.5Shots on target a game9.3, 13 games; allowed 4.5
56%, 15 gamesPossession66%, 13 games
6.5, 15 games; allowed 5.2Corners a game5.3, 13 games; allowed 3.2
11.4, 15 games; allowed 12.1Fouls a game7.2, 13 games; allowed 11.8
2.3, 15 games; allowed 2.4Yellow cards a game0.8, 13 games; allowed 1.8

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.