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Padova, this season at 90 minutes: 4W 2D 4L against Empoli, this season at 90 minutes: 2W 2D 6L

Serie B · Sat, Nov 7 9:00 AM ET

Padova
+11045%
Draw
+23028%
Empoli
+23027%

90 minutes · 4 sportsbooks · Total 2.5: Over −107 Under −135

The market makes Padova 45% / draw 28% / Empoli 27%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (4 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
PadovaDrawEmpoli
+11045%+23028%+23027%

Total goals4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
1.51 sportsbook−314no fair chance+237no fair chance
2.5most posted−10747%−13553%
3.51 sportsbook+254no fair chance−339no fair chance
4.51 sportsbook+597no fair chance−977no fair chance

Both teams to score2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−13553%−10847%

Draw no bet1 sportsbook

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
PadovaEmpoli
−205no fair chance+138no fair chance

Double chance3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Padova or drawPadova or EmpoliDraw or Empoli
−32573%−32572%−14555%

Asian handicap3 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapPadovaEmpoli
PAD −0.5most posted+10544%−14856%
PAD −0.25quarter line−114no fair chance−102no fair chance
PAD +0.51 sportsbook−309no fair chance+240no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 4 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookPadovaDrawEmpoliRead
BetMGM+110+230+23010 min ago
BetRivers+102+220+23010 min ago
DraftKings+115+230+23010 min ago
Pinnacle+118+236+24410 min ago
Total goals 2.5
SportsbookOver 2.5Under 2.5Read
BetMGM−108−13010 min ago
BetRivers−107−13710 min ago
DraftKings−105−13510 min ago
Pinnacle+104−12410 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetMGM−135−10810 min ago
BetRivers−134−10810 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookPadovaEmpoliRead
BetRivers−205+13810 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookPadova or drawPadova or EmpoliDraw or EmpoliRead
BetMGM−325−325−14510 min ago
BetRivers−385−375−15510 min ago
Pinnacle−311−300−14310 min ago
Asian handicap −0.5
SportsbookPadova −0.5Empoli +0.5Read
BetRivers+100−14810 min ago
DraftKings+105−15010 min ago
Pinnacle+117−14010 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 2:12 PM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026–27), every competition, at 90 minutes
PADWhatEMP
Padova, 2W 1D 2L:
  1. Lost 0–2 at home to Carrarese, Serie B, Oct 11
  2. Lost 1–2 at home to Virtus Entella, Serie B, Oct 17
  3. Won 1–0 away to US Avellino, Serie B, Oct 24
  4. Won 2–0 at home to Sudtirol, Serie B, Oct 27
  5. Drew 1–1 away to Catanzaro, Serie B, Oct 31
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Empoli, 0W 2D 3L:
  1. Lost 2–4 at home to Palermo, Serie B, Oct 10
  2. Drew 1–1 away to Ascoli, Serie B, Oct 17
  3. Lost 0–2 at home to Vicenza, Serie B, Oct 23
  4. Lost 1–2 away to Cesena, Serie B, Oct 27
  5. Drew 2–2 at home to Juve Stabia, Serie B, Nov 1
4–2–4, 10 gamesWon–drawn–lost2–2–6, 10 games
1.0, 10 gamesGoals scored a game1.0, 10 games
1.1, 10 gamesGoals allowed a game1.7, 10 games
10.3, 10 games; allowed 19.1Shots a game11.2, 10 games; allowed 17.2
2.9, 10 games; allowed 5.6Shots on target a game3.6, 10 games; allowed 5.2
42%, 10 gamesPossession45%, 10 games
4.2, 10 games; allowed 6.3Corners a game4.3, 10 games; allowed 4.3
12.6, 10 games; allowed 10.6Fouls a game14.1, 10 games; allowed 13.6
2.1, 10 games; allowed 1.5Yellow cards a game1.9, 10 games; allowed 1.9

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

How the prices moved

the typical price since our first read, each outcome

Result (90 min)

No move since first seen

  • Padova+110 → +110
  • Draw+230 → +230
  • Empoli+230 → +230

Both teams to score

No move since first seen

  • Yes−135 → −135
  • No−108 → −108

Draw no bet

No move since first seen

  • Padova−205 → −205
  • Empoli+138 → +138

Double chance

No move since first seen

  • Padova or draw−325 → −325
  • Padova or Empoli−325 → −325
  • Draw or Empoli−145 → −145

Player lines

9 posted · at 90 minutes · last 10 at each line

Research, not picks

All 9 player lines in Props, this game