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Burgos, this season at 90 minutes: 7W 3D 3L against Celta Fortuna, this season at 90 minutes: 3W 4D 5L

La Liga 2 · Sat, Nov 7 8:00 AM ET

Burgos
−15257%
Draw
+26024%
Celta Fortuna
+37519%

90 minutes · 3 sportsbooks · Total 2.5: Over −119 Under −112

The market makes Burgos 57% / draw 24% / Celta Fortuna 19%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (3 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
BurgosDrawCelta Fortuna
−15257%+26024%+37519%

Total goals3 sportsbooks

The market moved toward the Over 2.5 since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
1.51 sportsbook−393no fair chance+288no fair chance
2.5most posted−11950%−11250%
3.51 sportsbook+218no fair chance−285no fair chance
4.51 sportsbook+531no fair chance−837no fair chance

Both teams to score3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−12151%−11249%

Draw no bet2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
BurgosCelta Fortuna
−38075%+22525%

Double chance3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Burgos or drawBurgos or Celta FortunaDraw or Celta Fortuna
−60081%−38876%+11543%

Asian handicap2 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapBurgosCelta Fortuna
BUR −1.51 sportsbook+188no fair chance−236no fair chance
BUR −0.75most posted−11750%−12550%
BUR −0.51 sportsbook−152no fair chance+128no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 3 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookBurgosDrawCelta FortunaRead
BetMGM−155+260+3758 min ago
BetRivers−152+245+3358 min ago
Pinnacle−152+297+4078 min ago
Total goals 2.5
SportsbookOver 2.5Under 2.5Read
BetMGM−125−1128 min ago
BetRivers−110−1308 min ago
Pinnacle−119+1008 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetMGM−125−1128 min ago
BetRivers−121−1208 min ago
Pinnacle−120−1028 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookBurgosCelta FortunaRead
BetRivers−360+2258 min ago
Pinnacle−380+2858 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookBurgos or drawBurgos or Celta FortunaDraw or Celta FortunaRead
BetMGM−600−375+1158 min ago
BetRivers−670−420−1038 min ago
Pinnacle−557−388+1268 min ago
Asian handicap −0.75
SportsbookBurgos −0.75Celta Fortuna +0.75Read
BetRivers−114−1258 min ago
Pinnacle−117+1008 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 3:22 AM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026–27), every competition, at 90 minutes
BURWhatCEL
Burgos, 3W 1D 1L:
  1. Lost 0–1 at home to Granada, La Liga 2, Oct 12
  2. Won 1–0 at home to CD Sabadell, La Liga 2, Oct 18
  3. Won 3–2 away to FC Andorra, La Liga 2, Oct 26
  4. Won 4–2 away to CD Laredo, Copa del Rey, Oct 29
  5. Drew 1–1 at home to Castellón, La Liga 2, Nov 1
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Celta Fortuna, 1W 2D 2L:
  1. Lost 2–3 away to Sporting Gijón, La Liga 2, Oct 4
  2. Won 4–1 at home to Real Sociedad II, La Liga 2, Oct 10
  3. Drew 1–1 at home to Tenerife, La Liga 2, Oct 19
  4. Lost 1–5 away to Girona, La Liga 2, Oct 24
  5. Drew 2–2 at home to Córdoba, La Liga 2, Oct 31
7–3–3, 13 gamesWon–drawn–lost3–4–5, 12 games
1.6, 13 gamesGoals scored a game1.5, 12 games
1.2, 13 gamesGoals allowed a game1.9, 12 games
10.5, 13 games; allowed 12.8Shots a game11.9, 12 games; allowed 14.9
3.6, 13 games; allowed 4.2Shots on target a game5.1, 12 games; allowed 5.2
43%, 13 gamesPossession49%, 12 games
3.5, 13 games; allowed 4.9Corners a game3.7, 12 games; allowed 5.4
13.8, 13 games; allowed 12.8Fouls a game12.8, 12 games; allowed 14.0
2.5, 13 games; allowed 2.2Yellow cards a game2.8, 12 games; allowed 2.8

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

How the prices moved

the typical price since our first read, each outcome

Result (90 min)

Celta Fortuna +340 → +375 since first seen

  • Burgos−145 → −152
  • Draw+260 → +260
  • Celta Fortuna+340 → +375

Both teams to score

No −113 → −112 since first seen

  • Yes−121 → −121
  • No−113 → −112

Draw no bet

Burgos −374 → −380 since first seen

  • Burgos−374 → −380
  • Celta Fortuna+225 → +225

Double chance

Draw or Celta Fortuna +105 → +115 since first seen

  • Burgos or draw−556 → −600
  • Burgos or Celta Fortuna−375 → −388
  • Draw or Celta Fortuna+105 → +115

Player lines

26 posted · at 90 minutes · last 10 at each line

Research, not picks

All 26 player lines in Props, this game