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Alverca, this season at 90 minutes: 3W 2D 5L against Casa Pia, this season at 90 minutes: 2W 1D 7L

Primeira Liga · Sat, Nov 7 1:00 PM ET

Alverca
−13555%
Draw
+26025%
Casa Pia
+35020%

90 minutes · 4 sportsbooks · Total 2.5: Over −118 Under −120

The market makes Alverca 55% / draw 25% / Casa Pia 20%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (4 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
AlvercaDrawCasa Pia
−13555%+26025%+35020%

Total goals4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
1.51 sportsbook−337no fair chance+252no fair chance
2.5most posted−11850%−12050%
3.51 sportsbook+232no fair chance−306no fair chance
4.51 sportsbook+545no fair chance−866no fair chance

Both teams to score3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−12051%−11549%

Draw no bet2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
AlvercaCasa Pia
−40075%+24525%

Double chance3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Alverca or drawAlverca or Casa PiaDraw or Casa Pia
−52580%−37575%+10545%

Asian handicap3 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapAlvercaCasa Pia
ALV −1.51 sportsbook+220no fair chance−280no fair chance
ALV −11 sportsbook+110no fair chance−162no fair chance
ALV −0.75quarter line+100no fair chance−117no fair chance
ALV −0.5most posted−15055%−10545%

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 4 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookAlvercaDrawCasa PiaRead
BetMGM−135+260+35010 min ago
BetRivers−157+255+37010 min ago
DraftKings−135+265+33010 min ago
Pinnacle−132+269+37410 min ago
Total goals 2.5
SportsbookOver 2.5Under 2.5Read
BetMGM−118−12010 min ago
BetRivers−115−11810 min ago
DraftKings−120−12510 min ago
Pinnacle−106−11210 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetMGM−120−11510 min ago
BetRivers−124−11710 min ago
Pinnacle−119−10410 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookAlvercaCasa PiaRead
BetRivers−400+24510 min ago
Pinnacle−331+25210 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookAlverca or drawAlverca or Casa PiaDraw or Casa PiaRead
BetMGM−525−375+10010 min ago
BetRivers−715−435+10510 min ago
Pinnacle−506−344+10910 min ago
Asian handicap −0.5
SportsbookAlverca −0.5Casa Pia +0.5Read
DraftKings−150−10510 min ago
Pinnacle−133+11110 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 1:52 AM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026–27), every competition, at 90 minutes
ALVWhatCPAC
Alverca, 3W 0D 2L:
  1. Won 3–1 away to C.D. Nacional, Primeira Liga, Sep 12
  2. Won 1–0 at home to Rio Ave, Primeira Liga, Sep 19
  3. Won 4–1 away to FC Famalicao, Primeira Liga, Oct 12
  4. Lost 0–1 at home to Arouca, Primeira Liga, Oct 24
  5. Lost 0–1 away to Benfica, Primeira Liga, Nov 2
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Casa Pia, 2W 0D 3L:
  1. Lost 1–4 at home to FC Porto, Primeira Liga, Sep 12
  2. Won 2–1 away to Estoril, Primeira Liga, Sep 20
  3. Lost 0–1 at home to Santa Clara, Primeira Liga, Oct 10
  4. Won 2–0 away to Estrela, Primeira Liga, Oct 24
  5. Lost 0–2 at home to Sporting CP, Primeira Liga, Oct 30
3–2–5, 10 gamesWon–drawn–lost2–1–7, 10 games
1.3, 10 gamesGoals scored a game0.5, 10 games
1.4, 10 gamesGoals allowed a game1.9, 10 games
11.5, 10 games; allowed 12.8Shots a game9.9, 10 games; allowed 16.5
3.8, 10 games; allowed 4.3Shots on target a game2.7, 10 games; allowed 5.8
40%, 10 gamesPossession43%, 10 games
4.6, 10 games; allowed 4.0Corners a game4.0, 10 games; allowed 6.1
14.1, 10 games; allowed 11.3Fouls a game12.1, 10 games; allowed 13.3
2.2, 10 games; allowed 1.9Yellow cards a game2.0, 10 games; allowed 2.0

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

How the prices moved

the typical price since our first read, each outcome

Result (90 min)

Casa Pia +365 → +350 since first seen

  • Alverca−135 → −135
  • Draw+260 → +260
  • Casa Pia+365 → +350

Both teams to score

No move since first seen

  • Yes−120 → −120
  • No−115 → −115

Draw no bet

No move since first seen

  • Alverca−400 → −400
  • Casa Pia+245 → +245

Double chance

No move since first seen

  • Alverca or draw−525 → −525
  • Alverca or Casa Pia−375 → −375
  • Draw or Casa Pia+105 → +105