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Nacional, this season at 90 minutes: 2W 1D 7L against Académico, this season at 90 minutes: 6W 2D 2L

Primeira Liga · Sat, Nov 7 10:30 AM ET

Nacional
+19531%
Draw
+22329%
Académico
+13540%

90 minutes · 4 sportsbooks · Total 2.5: Over +100 Under −133

The market makes Nacional 31% / draw 29% / Académico 40%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (4 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
NacionalDrawAcadémico
+19531%+22329%+13540%

Total goals4 sportsbooks

The market moved toward the Under 2.5 since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
1.51 sportsbook−301no fair chance+228no fair chance
2.25quarter line−12052%+10048%
2.5most posted+10046%−13354%
3.51 sportsbook+267no fair chance−360no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Both teams to score2 sportsbooks

The market moved toward No since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−14053%−10247%

Draw no bet1 sportsbook

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
NacionalAcadémico
+115no fair chance−142no fair chance

Double chance2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Nacional or drawNacional or AcadémicoDraw or Académico
−18560%−30071%−27569%

Asian handicap3 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapNacionalAcadémico
CDN −0.51 sportsbook+202no fair chance−256no fair chance
CDN +0.25most posted−12854%+10846%
CDN +0.52 sportsbooks−18061%+12539%

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 4 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookNacionalDrawAcadémicoRead
BetMGM+190+225+13510 min ago
Bovada+200+215+1419 min ago
DraftKings+195+225+13510 min ago
Pinnacle+205+223+14410 min ago
Total goals 2.5
SportsbookOver 2.5Under 2.5Read
BetMGM−108−13010 min ago
DraftKings+100−14010 min ago
Pinnacle+110−13310 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetMGM−140−10210 min ago
Pinnacle−124+10010 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookNacionalAcadémicoRead
Pinnacle+115−14210 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookNacional or drawNacional or AcadémicoDraw or AcadémicoRead
BetMGM−185−300−27510 min ago
Pinnacle−177−280−25810 min ago
Asian handicap +0.25
SportsbookNacional +0.25Académico −0.25Read
Bovada−128+1089 min ago
Pinnacle−127+10910 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 3:07 PM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026–27), every competition, at 90 minutes
CDNWhatACV
Nacional, 1W 0D 4L:
  1. Lost 1–3 at home to Alverca, Primeira Liga, Sep 12
  2. Lost 0–4 at home to FC Famalicao, Primeira Liga, Sep 19
  3. Lost 2–3 away to Rio Ave, Primeira Liga, Oct 11
  4. Won 1–0 at home to Braga, Primeira Liga, Oct 25
  5. Lost 0–1 away to Arouca, Primeira Liga, Nov 1
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Académico, 5W 0D 0L:
  1. Won 2–1 at home to Vitória de Guimaraes, Primeira Liga, Sep 12
  2. Won 2–0 away to Estrela, Primeira Liga, Sep 20
  3. Won 2–1 at home to Estoril, Primeira Liga, Oct 10
  4. Won 2–1 away to Sporting CP, Primeira Liga, Oct 25
  5. Won 2–1 at home to Rio Ave, Primeira Liga, Nov 1
2–1–7, 10 gamesWon–drawn–lost6–2–2, 10 games
1.0, 10 gamesGoals scored a game1.5, 10 games
1.9, 10 gamesGoals allowed a game1.2, 10 games
10.0, 10 games; allowed 14.9Shots a game10.2, 10 games; allowed 17.8
3.0, 10 games; allowed 5.7Shots on target a game3.6, 10 games; allowed 5.5
47%, 10 gamesPossession45%, 10 games
4.1, 10 games; allowed 5.2Corners a game2.7, 10 games; allowed 5.9
11.7, 10 games; allowed 11.6Fouls a game13.2, 10 games; allowed 13.1
1.3, 10 games; allowed 2.1Yellow cards a game2.8, 10 games; allowed 1.7

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

How the prices moved

the typical price since our first read, each outcome

Result (90 min)

Draw +230 → +223 since first seen

  • Nacional+190 → +195
  • Draw+230 → +223
  • Académico+133 → +135

Both teams to score

No +105 → −102 since first seen

  • Yes−145 → −140
  • No+105 → −102

Draw no bet

Nacional +100 → +115 since first seen

  • Nacional+100 → +115
  • Académico−148 → −142

Double chance

Nacional or Académico −325 → −300 since first seen

  • Nacional or draw−185 → −185
  • Nacional or Académico−325 → −300
  • Draw or Académico−258 → −275

Player lines

2 posted · at 90 minutes · last 10 at each line

Research, not picks

To score2

  1. Alejandro MestanzaACV · MOver 0.5 goals0% of 13+6001 sportsbook
  2. Fernando NavaCDN · FOver 0.5 goals0% of 2+6501 sportsbook
Every goalscorer line in Props, this game
All 2 player lines in Props, this game