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Toluca, this season at 90 minutes: 6W 6D 3L against Monterrey, this season at 90 minutes: 6W 3D 5L

Liga MX · Sat, Nov 7 8:00 PM ET

Toluca
−17060%
Draw
+33021%
Monterrey
+37019%

90 minutes · 5 sportsbooks · Total 3.5: Over +100 Under −145

The market makes Toluca 60% / draw 21% / Monterrey 19%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (5 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)5 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
TolucaDrawMonterrey
−17060%+33021%+37019%

Total goals5 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
1.51 sportsbook−763no fair chance+494no fair chance
2.51 sportsbook−228no fair chance+178no fair chance
3.25quarter line−11251%−10849%
3.5most posted+10045%−14555%
4.51 sportsbook+242no fair chance−321no fair chance
5.51 sportsbook+519no fair chance−814no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Both teams to score3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−21564%+15036%

Draw no bet2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
TolucaMonterrey
−53077%+26523%

Double chance3 sportsbooks

The market moved toward Toluca or draw since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Toluca or drawToluca or MonterreyDraw or Monterrey
−53581%−50079%+12840%

Asian handicap4 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapTolucaMonterrey
TOL −1.51 sportsbook+150no fair chance−182no fair chance
TOL −1most posted−10549%−11551%
TOL −0.52 sportsbooks−18560%+12040%

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 5 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookTolucaDrawMonterreyRead
BetMGM−160+333+3336 min ago
BetRivers−182+320+3906 min ago
Bovada−177+330+3705 min ago
DraftKings−170+330+3506 min ago
Pinnacle−168+350+3936 min ago
Total goals 3.5
SportsbookOver 3.5Under 3.5Read
BetMGM−105−1356 min ago
BetRivers+108−1506 min ago
DraftKings+100−1456 min ago
Pinnacle+110−1336 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetMGM−220+1506 min ago
BetRivers−215+1406 min ago
Pinnacle−197+1576 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookTolucaMonterreyRead
BetRivers−530+2656 min ago
Pinnacle−374+2816 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookToluca or drawToluca or MonterreyDraw or MonterreyRead
BetMGM−475−500+1206 min ago
BetRivers−770−590+1286 min ago
Pinnacle−535−467+1396 min ago
Asian handicap −1
SportsbookToluca −1Monterrey +1Read
BetRivers−114−1216 min ago
Bovada−105−1155 min ago
Pinnacle−104−1126 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 3:07 AM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026–27), every competition, at 90 minutes
TOLWhatMTY
Toluca, 0W 4D 1L:
  1. Lost 2–3 away to Tigres UANL, Liga MX, Oct 9
  2. Drew 1–1 at home to Atlético de San Luis, Liga MX, Oct 17
  3. Drew 2–2 at home to Tijuana, Liga MX, Oct 21
  4. Drew 1–1 away to León, Liga MX, Oct 24
  5. Drew 2–2 away to América, Liga MX, Oct 31
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Monterrey, 2W 2D 1L:
  1. Drew 1–1 away to América, Liga MX, Oct 10
  2. Won 2–1 at home to Pachuca, Liga MX, Oct 18
  3. Won 4–1 away to Puebla, Liga MX, Oct 21
  4. Lost 0–1 at home to Guadalajara, Liga MX, Oct 24
  5. Drew 3–3 at home to Tijuana, Liga MX, Oct 31
6–6–3, 15 gamesWon–drawn–lost6–3–5, 14 games
2.1, 15 gamesGoals scored a game1.9, 14 games
1.4, 15 gamesGoals allowed a game1.5, 14 games
19.2, 15 games; allowed 13.9Shots a game16.1, 14 games; allowed 10.5
6.2, 15 games; allowed 4.7Shots on target a game5.9, 14 games; allowed 4.4
60%, 15 gamesPossession57%, 14 games
7.1, 15 games; allowed 5.1Corners a game6.6, 14 games; allowed 3.4
11.8, 15 games; allowed 11.6Fouls a game11.9, 14 games; allowed 11.6
1.3, 15 games; allowed 1.8Yellow cards a game1.7, 14 games; allowed 1.6

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

How the prices moved

the typical price since our first read, each outcome

Result (90 min)

Monterrey +340 → +370 since first seen

  • Toluca−162 → −170
  • Draw+330 → +330
  • Monterrey+340 → +370

Both teams to score

No +140 → +150 since first seen

  • Yes−220 → −215
  • No+140 → +150

Draw no bet

No move since first seen

  • Toluca−530 → −530
  • Monterrey+265 → +265

Double chance

Toluca or draw −479 → −535 since first seen

  • Toluca or draw−479 → −535
  • Toluca or Monterrey−500 → −500
  • Draw or Monterrey+126 → +128