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León, this season at 90 minutes: 6W 4D 5L against Guadalajara, this season at 90 minutes: 8W 5D 2L

Liga MX · Sun, Nov 8 9:10 PM ET

León
+21031%
Draw
+25026%
Guadalajara
+11543%

90 minutes · 5 sportsbooks · Total 2.5: Over −155 Under +108

The market makes León 31% / draw 26% / Guadalajara 43%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (5 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)5 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
LeónDrawGuadalajara
+21031%+25026%+11543%

Total goals5 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
1.51 sportsbook−468no fair chance+333no fair chance
2.5most posted−15556%+10844%
2.75quarter line−11251%−10849%
3.51 sportsbook+169no fair chance−215no fair chance
4.51 sportsbook+374no fair chance−538no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Both teams to score2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−19561%+12539%

Draw no bet1 sportsbook

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
LeónGuadalajara
−103no fair chance−152no fair chance

Double chance3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
León or drawLeón or GuadalajaraDraw or Guadalajara
−15557%−35074%−27569%

Asian handicap4 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapLeónGuadalajara
LEO −0.51 sportsbook+219no fair chance−279no fair chance
LEO +0.25most posted−10550%−11350%
LEO +0.52 sportsbooks−15556%+10044%

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 5 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookLeónDrawGuadalajaraRead
BetMGM+200+260+1156 min ago
BetRivers+175+245+1306 min ago
Bovada+210+250+1105 min ago
DraftKings+210+250+1106 min ago
Pinnacle+222+263+1176 min ago
Total goals 2.5
SportsbookOver 2.5Under 2.5Read
BetMGM−155+1106 min ago
BetRivers−152+1086 min ago
DraftKings−155+1056 min ago
Pinnacle−140+1166 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetMGM−185+1256 min ago
BetRivers−195+1306 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookLeónGuadalajaraRead
BetRivers−103−1526 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookLeón or drawLeón or GuadalajaraDraw or GuadalajaraRead
BetMGM−155−350−2756 min ago
BetRivers−190−400−2656 min ago
Pinnacle−143−334−2806 min ago
Asian handicap +0.25
SportsbookLeón +0.25Guadalajara −0.25Read
BetRivers−136−1036 min ago
Bovada−105−1155 min ago
Pinnacle−104−1136 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 12:27 AM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026–27), every competition, at 90 minutes
LEOWhatGDL
León, 1W 2D 2L:
  1. Drew 1–1 away to Puebla, Liga MX, Oct 9
  2. Lost 3–5 at home to América, Liga MX, Oct 17
  3. Won 2–0 away to Tigres UANL, Liga MX, Oct 20
  4. Drew 1–1 at home to Toluca, Liga MX, Oct 24
  5. Lost 1–2 away to Cruz Azul, Liga MX, Nov 1
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Guadalajara, 3W 2D 0L:
  1. Drew 1–1 away to Atlas, Liga MX, Oct 10
  2. Drew 1–1 at home to Tigres UANL, Liga MX, Oct 17
  3. Won 1–0 at home to Necaxa, Liga MX, Oct 20
  4. Won 1–0 away to Monterrey, Liga MX, Oct 24
  5. Won 4–2 at home to Atlante, Liga MX, Oct 31
6–4–5, 15 gamesWon–drawn–lost8–5–2, 15 games
1.5, 15 gamesGoals scored a game1.7, 15 games
1.3, 15 gamesGoals allowed a game0.9, 15 games
13.7, 15 games; allowed 15.1Shots a game14.9, 15 games; allowed 11.3
5.4, 15 games; allowed 4.7Shots on target a game5.6, 15 games; allowed 4.2
48%, 15 gamesPossession58%, 15 games
4.3, 15 games; allowed 5.8Corners a game7.6, 15 games; allowed 4.6
12.0, 15 games; allowed 13.4Fouls a game11.6, 15 games; allowed 12.3
2.1, 15 games; allowed 2.5Yellow cards a game1.0, 15 games; allowed 1.5

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

How the prices moved

the typical price since our first read, each outcome

Result (90 min)

No move since first seen

  • León+210 → +210
  • Draw+250 → +250
  • Guadalajara+115 → +115

Both teams to score

Yes −190 → −195 since first seen

  • Yes−190 → −195
  • No+127 → +125

Draw no bet

No move since first seen

  • León−103 → −103
  • Guadalajara−152 → −152

Double chance

No move since first seen

  • León or draw−155 → −155
  • León or Guadalajara−350 → −350
  • Draw or Guadalajara−275 → −275