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Machida Zelvia, this season at 90 minutes: 16W 14D 3L against Sanfreece, this season at 90 minutes: 19W 6D 8L

J1 League · Sun, Nov 8 12:00 AM ET

Machida Zelvia
+18534%
Draw
+24027%
Sanfreece
+13539%

90 minutes · 4 sportsbooks · Total 2.5: Over −130 Under −108

The market makes Machida Zelvia 34% / draw 27% / Sanfreece 39%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (4 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Machida ZelviaDrawSanfreece
+18534%+24027%+13539%

Total goals4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
1.51 sportsbook−396no fair chance+290no fair chance
2.5most posted−13052%−10848%
3.51 sportsbook+206no fair chance−267no fair chance
4.51 sportsbook+479no fair chance−733no fair chance

Both teams to score2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−16558%+11242%

Draw no bet1 sportsbook

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Machida ZelviaSanfreece
−113no fair chance−129no fair chance

Double chance3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Machida Zelvia or drawMachida Zelvia or SanfreeceDraw or Sanfreece
−18561%−32573%−24566%

Asian handicap2 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapMachida ZelviaSanfreece
ZEL −0.51 sportsbook+190no fair chance−239no fair chance
ZEL +0.25quarter line−126no fair chance+108no fair chance
ZEL +0.5most posted−18060%+12540%

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 4 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookMachida ZelviaDrawSanfreeceRead
BetMGM+185+240+1358 min ago
BetRivers+165+230+1508 min ago
DraftKings+185+240+1359 min ago
Pinnacle+193+247+1408 min ago
Total goals 2.5
SportsbookOver 2.5Under 2.5Read
BetMGM−130−1088 min ago
BetRivers−127−1058 min ago
DraftKings−130−1109 min ago
Pinnacle−120+1018 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetMGM−165+1158 min ago
BetRivers−165+1128 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookMachida ZelviaSanfreeceRead
BetRivers−113−1298 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookMachida Zelvia or drawMachida Zelvia or SanfreeceDraw or SanfreeceRead
BetMGM−185−325−2508 min ago
BetRivers−225−375−2458 min ago
Pinnacle−171−316−2418 min ago
Asian handicap +0.5
SportsbookMachida Zelvia +0.5Sanfreece −0.5Read
DraftKings−180+1259 min ago
Pinnacle−167+1398 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 3:47 AM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026–27), every competition, at 90 minutes
ZELWhatSAN
Machida Zelvia, 3W 2D 0L:
  1. Won 1–0 away to Kyoto Sanga, J1 League, Oct 10
  2. Won 3–0 at home to Avispa Fukuoka, J1 League, Oct 18
  3. Won 5–0 away to Shimizu S-Pulse, J1 League, Oct 21
  4. Drew 0–0 away to Vissel Kobe, J1 League, Oct 24
  5. Drew 0–0 at home to Gamba Osaka, J1 League, Nov 1
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Sanfreece, 4W 0D 1L:
  1. Won 2–0 away to Tokyo Verdy 1969, J1 League, Oct 11
  2. Won 3–0 at home to Kyoto Sanga, J1 League, Oct 17
  3. Lost 0–4 away to V-Varen Nagasaki, J1 League, Oct 21
  4. Won 4–0 at home to Shimizu S-Pulse, J1 League, Oct 24
  5. Won 3–0 away to Mito Hollyhock, J1 League, Oct 31
16–14–3, 33 gamesWon–drawn–lost19–6–8, 33 games
1.7, 33 gamesGoals scored a game1.9, 33 games
0.9, 33 gamesGoals allowed a game1.0, 33 games
13.1, 33 games; allowed 12.4Shots a game17.8, 33 games; allowed 9.4
4.8, 33 games; allowed 4.1Shots on target a game6.0, 33 games; allowed 3.1
47%, 33 gamesPossession57%, 33 games
4.3, 33 games; allowed 3.8Corners a game6.5, 33 games; allowed 2.7
10.4, 33 games; allowed 10.0Fouls a game10.4, 33 games; allowed 10.8
1.1, 33 games; allowed 0.8Yellow cards a game0.9, 33 games; allowed 1.5

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

How the prices moved

the typical price since our first read, each outcome

Result (90 min)

Draw +235 → +240 since first seen

  • Machida Zelvia+185 → +185
  • Draw+235 → +240
  • Sanfreece+135 → +135

Both teams to score

No move since first seen

  • Yes−165 → −165
  • No+112 → +112

Draw no bet

No move since first seen

  • Machida Zelvia−113 → −113
  • Sanfreece−129 → −129

Double chance

No move since first seen

  • Machida Zelvia or draw−185 → −185
  • Machida Zelvia or Sanfreece−325 → −325
  • Draw or Sanfreece−245 → −245

Player lines

4 posted · at 90 minutes · last 10 at each line

Research, not picks

To score4

  1. Koki OgawaZEL · FOver 0.5 goals25% of 60+1951 sportsbook
  2. Mitchell DukeZEL · FOver 0.5 goals15% of 81+2701 sportsbook
  3. Yuki SomaZEL · FOver 0.5 goals24% of 70+2701 sportsbook
  4. Takuma AsanoSAN · FOver 0.5 goals9% of 46+4251 sportsbook
Every goalscorer line in Props, this game
All 4 player lines in Props, this game