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Tokyo, this season at 90 minutes: 18W 10D 5L against Kashima, this season at 90 minutes: 21W 6D 6L

J1 League · Sat, Nov 7 1:00 AM ET

Tokyo
+10547%
Draw
+25526%
Kashima
+24027%

90 minutes · 3 sportsbooks · Total 2.5: Over −145 Under +105

The market makes Tokyo 47% / draw 26% / Kashima 27%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (3 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
TokyoDrawKashima
+10547%+25526%+24027%

Total goals3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
1.51 sportsbook−449no fair chance+330no fair chance
2.5most posted−14556%+10544%
2.75quarter line−109no fair chance−107no fair chance
3.51 sportsbook+177no fair chance−221no fair chance
4.51 sportsbook+407no fair chance−577no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Both teams to score2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−16559%+12041%

Draw no bet1 sportsbook

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
TokyoKashima
−211no fair chance+171no fair chance

Double chance2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Tokyo or drawTokyo or KashimaDraw or Kashima
−33473%−35074%−13553%

Asian handicap2 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapTokyoKashima
TOK −1.51 sportsbook+265no fair chance−337no fair chance
TOK −0.5most posted−10547%−13553%
TOK +0.51 sportsbook−332no fair chance+262no fair chance

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 3 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookTokyoDrawKashimaRead
BetMGM+105+250+2306 min ago
DraftKings+105+255+2406 min ago
Pinnacle−100+267+2646 min ago
Total goals 2.5
SportsbookOver 2.5Under 2.5Read
BetMGM−145+1056 min ago
DraftKings−145+1056 min ago
Pinnacle−138+1166 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetMGM−165+1206 min ago
Pinnacle−162+1336 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookTokyoKashimaRead
Pinnacle−211+1716 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookTokyo or drawTokyo or KashimaDraw or KashimaRead
BetMGM−325−350−1356 min ago
Pinnacle−334−336−1206 min ago
Asian handicap −0.5
SportsbookTokyo −0.5Kashima +0.5Read
DraftKings−105−1356 min ago
Pinnacle+101−1166 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 5:52 PM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026–27), every competition, at 90 minutes
TOKWhatKAN
Tokyo, 4W 1D 0L:
  1. Won 3–0 at home to Urawa Red Diamonds, J1 League, Oct 10
  2. Won 4–0 away to Tokyo Verdy 1969, J1 League, Oct 17
  3. Drew 0–0 at home to Kashiwa Reysol, J1 League, Oct 21
  4. Won 6–0 at home to Mito Hollyhock, J1 League, Oct 25
  5. Won 4–0 away to Fagiano Okayama, J1 League, Oct 31
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Kashima, 3W 1D 1L:
  1. Won 2–0 at home to Gamba Osaka, J1 League, Oct 9
  2. Won 2–0 at home to V-Varen Nagasaki, J1 League, Oct 17
  3. Drew 2–2 away to Kyoto Sanga, J1 League, Oct 21
  4. Lost 2–3 at home to Kashiwa Reysol, J1 League, Oct 24
  5. Won 4–1 at home to Cerezo Osaka, J1 League, Oct 31
18–10–5, 33 gamesWon–drawn–lost21–6–6, 33 games
1.9, 33 gamesGoals scored a game1.8, 33 games
0.9, 33 gamesGoals allowed a game1.1, 33 games
16.4, 33 games; allowed 10.5Shots a game13.8, 33 games; allowed 12.1
5.5, 33 games; allowed 2.9Shots on target a game4.5, 33 games; allowed 3.7
54%, 33 gamesPossession58%, 33 games
5.4, 33 games; allowed 4.2Corners a game4.8, 33 games; allowed 4.9
10.9, 33 games; allowed 9.6Fouls a game10.2, 33 games; allowed 13.2
1.2, 33 games; allowed 1.2Yellow cards a game1.1, 33 games; allowed 1.3

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

How the prices moved

the typical price since our first read, each outcome

Result (90 min)

Kashima +230 → +240 since first seen

  • Tokyo+105 → +105
  • Draw+250 → +255
  • Kashima+230 → +240

Both teams to score

Yes −180 → −165 since first seen

  • Yes−180 → −165
  • No+120 → +120

Draw no bet

Kashima +138 → +171 since first seen

  • Tokyo−200 → −211
  • Kashima+138 → +171

Double chance

Tokyo or draw −325 → −334 since first seen

  • Tokyo or draw−325 → −334
  • Tokyo or Kashima−350 → −350
  • Draw or Kashima−135 → −135

Player lines

none posted yet

Research, not picks

No player lines posted for this match yet. Books post most of them a day or two before kickoff.