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Newcastle, this season at 90 minutes: 3W 3D 4L against Arsenal, this season at 90 minutes: 12W 1D 1L

Premier League · Sat, Nov 21 12:30 PM ET

Newcastle
+44017%
Draw
+32022%
Arsenal
−17661%

90 minutes · 5 sportsbooks · Total 2.5: Over −145 Under +119

The market makes Newcastle 17% / draw 22% / Arsenal 61%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (5 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)5 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
NewcastleDrawArsenal
+44017%+32022%−17661%

Total goals6 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
1.51 sportsbook−450no fair chance+300no fair chance
2.5most posted−14556%+11944%
2.75quarter line−111no fair chance−104no fair chance
3.51 sportsbook+176no fair chance−216no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Both teams to score4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−13654%+10646%

Draw no bet3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
NewcastleArsenal
+32021%−43279%

Double chance4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Newcastle or drawNewcastle or ArsenalDraw or Arsenal
+13039%−45078%−65083%

Asian handicap5 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapNewcastleArsenal
NEW +0.52 sportsbooks+13039%−19061%
NEW +1most posted−11751%+10049%
NEW +1.52 sportsbooks−21064%+14636%

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 5 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookNewcastleDrawArsenalRead
BetRivers+475+320−1776 min ago
Bovada+420+310−1766 min ago
DraftKings+425+320−1706 min ago
FanDuel+440+320−1856 min ago
Pinnacle+463+327−1696 min ago
Total goals 2.5
SportsbookOver 2.5Under 2.5Read
BetRivers−152+1206 min ago
Bovada−138+1146 min ago
DraftKings−145+1106 min ago
FanDuel−148+1206 min ago
Pinnacle−139+1196 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetMGM−135−1086 min ago
BetRivers−143+1066 min ago
FanDuel−136+1086 min ago
Pinnacle−131+1106 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookNewcastleArsenalRead
BetRivers+290−5006 min ago
FanDuel+320−4206 min ago
Pinnacle+335−4326 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookNewcastle or drawNewcastle or ArsenalDraw or ArsenalRead
BetMGM+130−450−6256 min ago
BetRivers+138−455−7156 min ago
FanDuel+130−450−6506 min ago
Pinnacle+144−407−6016 min ago
Asian handicap +1
SportsbookNewcastle +1Arsenal −1Read
BetRivers−117−1136 min ago
Bovada−120+1006 min ago
Pinnacle−113+1006 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 12:47 AM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026–27), every competition, at 90 minutes
NEWWhatARS
Newcastle, 1W 1D 3L:
  1. Lost 1–4 away to Coventry City, Premier League, Oct 12
  2. Lost 0–1 at home to Aston Villa, Premier League, Oct 17
  3. Won 2–0 away to Crystal Palace, Premier League, Oct 25
  4. Lost 0–1 at home to Everton, Premier League, Nov 2
  5. Drew 1–1 away to Fulham, Premier League, Nov 7
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Arsenal, 4W 1D 0L:
  1. Drew 2–2 away to Bayern Munich, Champions League, Oct 21
  2. Won 2–0 at home to Everton, Premier League, Oct 24
  3. Won 1–0 away to Liverpool, Premier League, Nov 1
  4. Won 2–1 away to Slavia Prague, Champions League, Nov 4
  5. Won 1–0 at home to Hull City, Premier League, Nov 7
3–3–4, 10 gamesWon–drawn–lost12–1–1, 14 games
1.3, 10 gamesGoals scored a game1.6, 14 games
1.6, 10 gamesGoals allowed a game0.6, 14 games
12.2, 10 games; allowed 16.5Shots a game14.7, 14 games; allowed 10.7
3.4, 10 games; allowed 5.1Shots on target a game5.3, 14 games; allowed 2.9
50%, 10 gamesPossession59%, 14 games
4.3, 10 games; allowed 5.2Corners a game5.6, 14 games; allowed 3.5
12.1, 10 games; allowed 10.9Fouls a game9.9, 14 games; allowed 14.9
2.6, 10 games; allowed 2.0Yellow cards a game1.5, 14 games; allowed 2.6

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

Player lines

none posted yet

Research, not picks

No player lines posted for this match yet. Books post most of them a day or two before kickoff.