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Birmingham, this season at 90 minutes: 7W 5D 2L against Swansea, this season at 90 minutes: 8W 2D 4L

Championship · Sat, Nov 7 10:00 AM ET

Birmingham
−11652%
Draw
+26025%
Swansea
+31023%

90 minutes · 4 sportsbooks · Total 2.5: Over −115 Under −110

The market makes Birmingham 52% / draw 25% / Swansea 23%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (4 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
BirminghamDrawSwansea
−11652%+26025%+31023%

Total goals4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
1.51 sportsbook−364no fair chance+276no fair chance
2.5most posted−11551%−11049%
3.51 sportsbook+216no fair chance−276no fair chance
4.51 sportsbook+506no fair chance−755no fair chance

Both teams to score2 sportsbooks

The market moved toward No since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−13554%−10246%

Draw no bet1 sportsbook

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
BirminghamSwansea
−259no fair chance+207no fair chance

Double chance2 sportsbooks

The market moved toward Birmingham or draw since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Birmingham or drawBirmingham or SwanseaDraw or Swansea
−45077%−35075%−11048%

Asian handicap3 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapBirminghamSwansea
BIR −1.51 sportsbook+242no fair chance−305no fair chance
BIR −0.5most posted−12252%−10148%
BIR +0.51 sportsbook−398no fair chance+308no fair chance

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 4 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookBirminghamDrawSwanseaRead
BetMGM−115+260+3107 min ago
Bovada−120+260+3006 min ago
DraftKings−115+270+3107 min ago
Pinnacle−116+270+3117 min ago
Total goals 2.5
SportsbookOver 2.5Under 2.5Read
BetMGM−120−1187 min ago
Bovada−112−1086 min ago
DraftKings−115−1107 min ago
Pinnacle−113−1037 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetMGM−135−1027 min ago
Pinnacle−130+1077 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookBirminghamSwanseaRead
Pinnacle−259+2077 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookBirmingham or drawBirmingham or SwanseaDraw or SwanseaRead
BetMGM−450−350−1107 min ago
Pinnacle−402−344−1037 min ago
Asian handicap −0.5
SportsbookBirmingham −0.5Swansea +0.5Read
Bovada−122+1026 min ago
DraftKings−125−1107 min ago
Pinnacle−114−1017 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 10:32 PM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026–27), every competition, at 90 minutes
BIRWhatSWA
Birmingham, 4W 0D 1L:
  1. Won 4–0 at home to Preston North End, Championship, Oct 13
  2. Won 3–0 at home to Queens Park Rangers, Championship, Oct 17
  3. Lost 0–1 away to Cardiff City, Championship, Oct 24
  4. Won 3–1 away to Lincoln City, Championship, Oct 31
  5. Won 3–0 at home to Millwall, Championship, Nov 3
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Swansea, 2W 0D 3L:
  1. Won 1–0 away to Millwall, Championship, Oct 13
  2. Lost 0–1 at home to West Ham United, Championship, Oct 17
  3. Lost 0–5 away to Queens Park Rangers, Championship, Oct 24
  4. Won 4–0 at home to Blackburn Rovers, Championship, Oct 31
  5. Lost 1–3 away to Portsmouth, Championship, Nov 3
7–5–2, 14 gamesWon–drawn–lost8–2–4, 14 games
1.9, 14 gamesGoals scored a game1.5, 14 games
0.9, 14 gamesGoals allowed a game1.1, 14 games
13.8, 14 games; allowed 12.2Shots a game12.2, 14 games; allowed 10.7
5.1, 14 games; allowed 3.7Shots on target a game4.6, 14 games; allowed 3.4
51%, 14 gamesPossession60%, 14 games
5.4, 14 games; allowed 4.1Corners a game4.1, 14 games; allowed 4.5
12.4, 14 games; allowed 10.4Fouls a game9.8, 14 games; allowed 11.2
2.0, 14 games; allowed 1.5Yellow cards a game1.4, 14 games; allowed 1.7

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

How the prices moved

the typical price since our first read, each outcome

Result (90 min)

Swansea +285 → +310 since first seen

  • Birmingham−110 → −116
  • Draw+245 → +260
  • Swansea+285 → +310

Both teams to score

Yes −159 → −135 since first seen

  • Yes−159 → −135
  • No−102 → −102

Draw no bet

Swansea +155 → +207 since first seen

  • Birmingham−246 → −259
  • Swansea+155 → +207

Double chance

Draw or Swansea −127 → −110 since first seen

  • Birmingham or draw−375 → −450
  • Birmingham or Swansea−360 → −350
  • Draw or Swansea−127 → −110

Player lines

122 posted · at 90 minutes · last 10 at each line

Research, not picks

To score31

  1. August PriskeBIR · FOver 0.5 goals25% of 73+1701 sportsbook
  2. Jay StansfieldBIR · FOver 0.5 goals27% of 96+1701 sportsbook
  3. Marvin DuckschBIR · FOver 0.5 goals22% of 73+2201 sportsbook
  4. Zan VipotnikSWA · FOver 0.5 goals29% of 100+2251 sportsbook
  5. Liam MillarBIR · FOver 0.5 goals14% of 59+2501 sportsbook
  6. Adam IdahSWA · FOver 0.5 goals22% of 81+2651 sportsbook
Every goalscorer line in Props, this game

Shots on Target29

  1. Jay StansfieldBIR · FOver 0.5 shots on target56% of 96−1951 sportsbook3 straight
  2. Adam IdahSWA · FOver 0.5 shots on target43% of 81−1901 sportsbook
  3. Demarai GrayBIR · FOver 0.5 shots on target44% of 48−1851 sportsbook
  4. Carlos VicenteBIR · FOver 0.5 shots on target30% of 88−1751 sportsbook
  5. Ross StewartSWA · FOver 0.5 shots on target37% of 43−1651 sportsbook
  6. Liam MillarBIR · FOver 0.5 shots on target32% of 59−1551 sportsbook
Every shots on target line in Props, this game
All 122 player lines in Props, this game