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Cardiff, this season at 90 minutes: 3W 5D 5L against Burnley, this season at 90 minutes: 1W 7D 6L

Championship · Sat, Nov 7 10:00 AM ET

Cardiff
+12043%
Draw
+28024%
Burnley
+18033%

90 minutes · 3 sportsbooks · Total 3.5: Over +120 Under −185

The market makes Cardiff 43% / draw 24% / Burnley 33%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (3 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
CardiffDrawBurnley
+12043%+28024%+18033%

Total goals3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
31 sportsbook−115no fair chance−105no fair chance
3.5most posted+12041%−18559%

Both teams to score2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−25065%+14535%

Draw no bet1 sportsbook

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
CardiffBurnley
−159no fair chance+110no fair chance

Double chance2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Cardiff or drawCardiff or BurnleyDraw or Burnley
−25067%−38576%−16557%

Asian handicap2 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapCardiffBurnley
CAR −0.25most posted−11248%−12452%

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 3 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookCardiffDrawBurnleyRead
BetMGM+125+280+18017 min ago
BetRivers+117+255+18017 min ago
Bovada+120+280+18517 min ago
Total goals 3.5
SportsbookOver 3.5Under 3.5Read
BetMGM+125−18517 min ago
BetRivers+120−15917 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetMGM−210+14517 min ago
BetRivers−250+16517 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookCardiffBurnleyRead
BetRivers−159+11017 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookCardiff or drawCardiff or BurnleyDraw or BurnleyRead
BetMGM−235−375−16517 min ago
BetRivers−250−385−16217 min ago
Asian handicap −0.25
SportsbookCardiff −0.25Burnley +0.25Read
BetRivers−112−12417 min ago
Bovada+100−12017 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 3:47 AM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026–27), every competition, at 90 minutes
CARWhatBUR
Cardiff, 2W 1D 2L:
  1. Lost 1–2 away to Blackburn Rovers, Championship, Oct 10
  2. Won 5–1 at home to Watford, Championship, Oct 13
  3. Drew 2–2 away to Middlesbrough, Championship, Oct 17
  4. Won 1–0 at home to Birmingham City, Championship, Oct 24
  5. Lost 0–3 away to Wolverhampton Wanderers, Championship, Oct 31
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Burnley, 0W 3D 2L:
  1. Drew 2–2 at home to Charlton Athletic, Championship, Oct 13
  2. Lost 1–2 at home to Wolverhampton Wanderers, Championship, Oct 16
  3. Lost 1–4 away to Lincoln City, Championship, Oct 24
  4. Drew 0–0 at home to Portsmouth, Championship, Oct 31
  5. Drew 1–1 away to Queens Park Rangers, Championship, Nov 3
3–5–5, 13 gamesWon–drawn–lost1–7–6, 14 games
1.5, 13 gamesGoals scored a game1.3, 14 games
1.5, 13 gamesGoals allowed a game1.9, 14 games
16.9, 13 games; allowed 14.3Shots a game13.3, 14 games; allowed 14.3
6.2, 13 games; allowed 5.4Shots on target a game3.9, 14 games; allowed 5.0
61%, 13 gamesPossession49%, 14 games
6.7, 13 games; allowed 4.8Corners a game4.5, 14 games; allowed 4.6
9.9, 13 games; allowed 13.8Fouls a game9.9, 14 games; allowed 9.3
1.8, 13 games; allowed 2.3Yellow cards a game1.8, 14 games; allowed 1.6

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

How the prices moved

the typical price since our first read, each outcome

Result (90 min)

No move since first seen

  • Cardiff+120 → +120
  • Draw+280 → +280
  • Burnley+180 → +180

Both teams to score

No move since first seen

  • Yes−250 → −250
  • No+145 → +145

Draw no bet

No move since first seen

  • Cardiff−159 → −159
  • Burnley+110 → +110

Double chance

Cardiff or Burnley −400 → −385 since first seen

  • Cardiff or draw−250 → −250
  • Cardiff or Burnley−400 → −385
  • Draw or Burnley−165 → −165

Player lines

none posted yet

Research, not picks

No player lines posted for this match yet. Books post most of them a day or two before kickoff.