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Birmingham, this season at 90 minutes: 7W 5D 2L against Swansea, this season at 90 minutes: 8W 2D 4L

Championship · Sat, Nov 7 10:00 AM ET

Birmingham
−10849%
Draw
+25026%
Swansea
+28025%

90 minutes · 5 sportsbooks · Total 2.5: Over −120 Under −108

The market makes Birmingham 49% / draw 26% / Swansea 25%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (5 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)5 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
BirminghamDrawSwansea
−10849%+25026%+28025%

Total goals5 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
1.51 sportsbook−362no fair chance+268no fair chance
2.5most posted−12051%−10849%
3.51 sportsbook+218no fair chance−285no fair chance
4.51 sportsbook+506no fair chance−787no fair chance

Both teams to score2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−15755%−10245%

Draw no bet2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
BirminghamSwansea
−24667%+16033%

Double chance2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Birmingham or drawBirmingham or SwanseaDraw or Swansea
−38575%−36074%−12551%

Asian handicap4 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapBirminghamSwansea
BIR −1.51 sportsbook+251no fair chance−325no fair chance
BIR −0.5most posted−11249%−12451%
BIR −0.25quarter line−145no fair chance+120no fair chance
BIR +0.51 sportsbook−389no fair chance+294no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 5 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookBirminghamDrawSwanseaRead
BetMGM−105+250+2804 min ago
BetRivers−108+240+2504 min ago
Bovada−110+250+2803 min ago
DraftKings−105+260+2804 min ago
Pinnacle−110+263+3004 min ago
Total goals 2.5
SportsbookOver 2.5Under 2.5Read
BetMGM−120−1184 min ago
BetRivers−129−1044 min ago
Bovada−112−1083 min ago
DraftKings−120−1154 min ago
Pinnacle−112−1064 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetMGM−140−1024 min ago
BetRivers−157+1104 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookBirminghamSwanseaRead
BetRivers−240+1604 min ago
Pinnacle−246+1934 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookBirmingham or drawBirmingham or SwanseaDraw or SwanseaRead
BetMGM−375−350−1204 min ago
BetRivers−385−360−1254 min ago
Asian handicap −0.5
SportsbookBirmingham −0.5Swansea +0.5Read
BetRivers−112−1244 min ago
DraftKings−120−1254 min ago
Pinnacle−109−1074 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 2:29 AM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026–27), every competition, at 90 minutes
BIRWhatSWA
Birmingham, 4W 0D 1L:
  1. Won 4–0 at home to Preston North End, Championship, Oct 13
  2. Won 3–0 at home to Queens Park Rangers, Championship, Oct 17
  3. Lost 0–1 away to Cardiff City, Championship, Oct 24
  4. Won 3–1 away to Lincoln City, Championship, Oct 31
  5. Won 3–0 at home to Millwall, Championship, Nov 3
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Swansea, 2W 0D 3L:
  1. Won 1–0 away to Millwall, Championship, Oct 13
  2. Lost 0–1 at home to West Ham United, Championship, Oct 17
  3. Lost 0–5 away to Queens Park Rangers, Championship, Oct 24
  4. Won 4–0 at home to Blackburn Rovers, Championship, Oct 31
  5. Lost 1–3 away to Portsmouth, Championship, Nov 3
7–5–2, 14 gamesWon–drawn–lost8–2–4, 14 games
1.9, 14 gamesGoals scored a game1.5, 14 games
0.9, 14 gamesGoals allowed a game1.1, 14 games
13.8, 14 games; allowed 12.2Shots a game12.2, 14 games; allowed 10.7
5.1, 14 games; allowed 3.7Shots on target a game4.6, 14 games; allowed 3.4
51%, 14 gamesPossession60%, 14 games
5.4, 14 games; allowed 4.1Corners a game4.1, 14 games; allowed 4.5
12.4, 14 games; allowed 10.4Fouls a game9.8, 14 games; allowed 11.2
2.0, 14 games; allowed 1.5Yellow cards a game1.4, 14 games; allowed 1.7

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

How the prices moved

the typical price since our first read, each outcome

Result (90 min)

Birmingham −110 → −108 since first seen

  • Birmingham−110 → −108
  • Draw+245 → +250
  • Swansea+285 → +280

Both teams to score

Yes −159 → −157 since first seen

  • Yes−159 → −157
  • No−102 → −102

Draw no bet

Swansea +155 → +160 since first seen

  • Birmingham−246 → −246
  • Swansea+155 → +160

Double chance

Birmingham or draw −375 → −385 since first seen

  • Birmingham or draw−375 → −385
  • Birmingham or Swansea−360 → −360
  • Draw or Swansea−127 → −125