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Birmingham, this season at 90 minutes: 7W 5D 2L against Millwall, this season at 90 minutes: 5W 3D 6L

Championship · Final

Final. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged. It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

closed at kickoff

The lines closed at kickoff.

Side by side

this season (2026–27), every competition, at 90 minutes
BIRWhatMIL
Birmingham, 4W 0D 1L:
  1. Won 4–0 at home to Preston North End, Championship, Oct 13
  2. Won 3–0 at home to Queens Park Rangers, Championship, Oct 17
  3. Lost 0–1 away to Cardiff City, Championship, Oct 24
  4. Won 3–1 away to Lincoln City, Championship, Oct 31
  5. Won 3–0 at home to Millwall, Championship, Nov 3
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Millwall, 1W 1D 3L:
  1. Lost 0–1 at home to Swansea City, Championship, Oct 13
  2. Drew 2–2 at home to Lincoln City, Championship, Oct 17
  3. Lost 1–2 away to Portsmouth, Championship, Oct 24
  4. Won 4–1 at home to Derby County, Championship, Oct 31
  5. Lost 0–3 away to Birmingham City, Championship, Nov 3
7–5–2, 14 gamesWon–drawn–lost5–3–6, 14 games
1.9, 14 gamesGoals scored a game1.6, 14 games
0.9, 14 gamesGoals allowed a game1.7, 14 games
13.8, 14 games; allowed 12.2Shots a game14.4, 14 games; allowed 13.4
5.1, 14 games; allowed 3.7Shots on target a game4.1, 14 games; allowed 3.8
51%, 14 gamesPossession48%, 14 games
5.4, 14 games; allowed 4.1Corners a game5.5, 14 games; allowed 5.9
12.4, 14 games; allowed 10.4Fouls a game12.1, 14 games; allowed 10.1
2.0, 14 games; allowed 1.5Yellow cards a game2.0, 14 games; allowed 2.0

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.