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Mainz, this season at 90 minutes: 3W 1D 4L against Bayern, this season at 90 minutes: 7W 5D 0L

Bundesliga · Sat, Nov 7 9:30 AM ET

Mainz
+52514%
Draw
+50014%
Bayern
−29572%

90 minutes · 6 sportsbooks · Total 4.5: Over +125 Under −165

The market makes Mainz 14% / draw 14% / Bayern 72%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (6 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)6 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
MainzDrawBayern
+52514%+50014%−29572%

Total goals6 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
3.51 sportsbook−172no fair chance+143no fair chance
42 sportsbooks−11551%−10549%
4.5most posted+12541%−16559%

Both teams to score4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−26069%+19231%

Draw no bet3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
MainzBayern
+47015%−67085%

Double chance4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Mainz or drawMainz or BayernDraw or Bayern
+20028%−77086%−83586%

Asian handicap5 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapMainzBayern
M05 +0.51 sportsbook+238no fair chance−302no fair chance
M05 +1.5most posted−11048%−13552%
M05 +1.75quarter line−122no fair chance+102no fair chance
M05 +2.51 sportsbook−233no fair chance+187no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 6 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookMainzDrawBayernRead
BetMGM+525+500−2757 min ago
BetRivers+500+460−2657 min ago
Bovada+550+550−2957 min ago
DraftKings+500+500−3107 min ago
FanDuel+600+550−3507 min ago
Pinnacle+576+571−2827 min ago
Total goals 4.5
SportsbookOver 4.5Under 4.5Read
BetMGM+125−1757 min ago
BetRivers+128−1677 min ago
DraftKings+125−1657 min ago
FanDuel+124−1607 min ago
Pinnacle+130−1567 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetMGM−250+1707 min ago
BetRivers−295+2057 min ago
FanDuel−260+1927 min ago
Pinnacle−237+1987 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookMainzBayernRead
BetRivers+340−6707 min ago
FanDuel+520−9007 min ago
Pinnacle+470−6157 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookMainz or drawMainz or BayernDraw or BayernRead
BetMGM+200−750−8007 min ago
BetRivers+190−770−8357 min ago
FanDuel+240−900−10007 min ago
Pinnacle+241−737−7437 min ago
Asian handicap +1.5
SportsbookMainz +1.5Bayern −1.5Read
BetRivers−121−1097 min ago
DraftKings−110−1357 min ago
FanDuel−104−1367 min ago
Pinnacle+107−1187 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 3:07 AM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026–27), every competition, at 90 minutes
M05WhatMUN
Mainz, 2W 0D 3L:
  1. Won 4–3 away to Borussia Mönchengladbach, Bundesliga, Sep 19
  2. Lost 3–4 at home to Bayer Leverkusen, Bundesliga, Oct 10
  3. Won 1–0 away to Schalke 04, Bundesliga, Oct 17
  4. Lost 2–3 at home to Werder Bremen, Bundesliga, Oct 24
  5. Lost 1–4 away to SV Elversberg, Bundesliga, Oct 30
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Bayern, 3W 2D 0L:
  1. Won 6–1 at home to RB Leipzig, Bundesliga, Oct 17
  2. Drew 2–2 at home to Arsenal, Champions League, Oct 21
  3. Won 3–1 away to SC Freiburg, Bundesliga, Oct 25
  4. Drew 2–2 at home to Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga, Oct 31
  5. Won 2–0 away to Atlético Madrid, Champions League, Nov 3
3–1–4, 8 gamesWon–drawn–lost7–5–0, 12 games
2.1, 8 gamesGoals scored a game3.3, 12 games
2.1, 8 gamesGoals allowed a game1.1, 12 games
16.9, 8 games; allowed 13.1Shots a game22.3, 12 games; allowed 9.1
5.8, 8 games; allowed 4.6Shots on target a game8.8, 12 games; allowed 3.3
51%, 8 gamesPossession63%, 12 games
5.8, 8 games; allowed 4.5Corners a game8.1, 12 games; allowed 3.5
14.0, 8 games; allowed 10.0Fouls a game9.7, 12 games; allowed 9.2
2.4, 8 games; allowed 1.6Yellow cards a game1.0, 12 games; allowed 1.9

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

How the prices moved

the typical price since our first read, each outcome

Result (90 min)

No move since first seen

  • Mainz+525 → +525
  • Draw+500 → +500
  • Bayern−295 → −295

Both teams to score

No move since first seen

  • Yes−260 → −260
  • No+192 → +192

Draw no bet

No move since first seen

  • Mainz+470 → +470
  • Bayern−670 → −670

Double chance

No move since first seen

  • Mainz or draw+200 → +200
  • Mainz or Bayern−770 → −770
  • Draw or Bayern−835 → −835