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Vitória, this season at 90 minutes: 10W 8D 15L against Fluminense, this season at 90 minutes: 15W 9D 9L

Brazil Serie A · Fri, Nov 6 6:00 PM ET

Vitória
+17734%
Draw
+23328%
Fluminense
+14938%

90 minutes · 4 sportsbooks · Total 2.5: Over +101 Under −128

The market makes Vitória 34% / draw 28% / Fluminense 38%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (4 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
VitóriaDrawFluminense
+17734%+23328%+14938%

Total goals4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
1.51 sportsbook−312no fair chance+239no fair chance
2.5most posted+10147%−12853%
3.51 sportsbook+256no fair chance−338no fair chance
4.51 sportsbook+603no fair chance−958no fair chance

Both teams to score3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−13554%+10246%

Draw no bet2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
VitóriaFluminense
−10347%−12953%

Double chance3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Vitória or drawVitória or FluminenseDraw or Fluminense
−20062%−31572%−22966%

Asian handicap3 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapVitóriaFluminense
VIT −0.51 sportsbook+183no fair chance−224no fair chance
VIT 0most posted+10048%−11852%
VIT +0.25quarter line−148no fair chance+110no fair chance
VIT +0.51 sportsbook−187no fair chance+154no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 4 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookVitóriaDrawFluminenseRead
BetMGM+175+240+1558 min ago
BetRivers+170+215+1438 min ago
Bovada+180+235+1407 min ago
Pinnacle+185+231+1558 min ago
Total goals 2.5
SportsbookOver 2.5Under 2.5Read
BetMGM−102−1408 min ago
BetRivers−108−1248 min ago
Bovada+111−1327 min ago
Pinnacle+105−1258 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetMGM−135−1088 min ago
BetRivers−148+1028 min ago
Pinnacle−128+1048 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookVitóriaFluminenseRead
BetRivers−108−1348 min ago
Pinnacle+101−1258 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookVitória or drawVitória or FluminenseDraw or FluminenseRead
BetMGM−200−325−2258 min ago
BetRivers−200−315−2408 min ago
Pinnacle−189−288−2298 min ago
Asian handicap PK
SportsbookVitória PKFluminense PKRead
Bovada−105−1157 min ago
Pinnacle+104−1218 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 11:22 PM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026), every competition, at 90 minutes
VITWhatFLU
Vitória, 1W 2D 2L:
  1. Won 4–0 at home to Chapecoense, Brazil Serie A, Oct 7
  2. Lost 1–2 away to São Paulo, Brazil Serie A, Oct 10
  3. Drew 1–1 away to Corinthians, Brazil Serie A, Oct 19
  4. Drew 1–1 at home to Athletico Paranaense, Brazil Serie A, Oct 24
  5. Lost 0–2 away to Coritiba, Brazil Serie A, Oct 31
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Fluminense, 2W 0D 3L:
  1. Won 4–0 at home to Coritiba, Brazil Serie A, Oct 8
  2. Lost 0–1 away to Flamengo, Brazil Serie A, Oct 11
  3. Lost 1–2 at home to Santos, Brazil Serie A, Oct 18
  4. Lost 1–2 away to Chapecoense, Brazil Serie A, Oct 24
  5. Won 2–1 at home to Internacional, Brazil Serie A, Oct 28
10–8–15, 33 gamesWon–drawn–lost15–9–9, 33 games
1.1, 33 gamesGoals scored a game1.6, 33 games
1.5, 33 gamesGoals allowed a game1.3, 33 games
11.8, 33 games; allowed 15.7Shots a game14.7, 33 games; allowed 12.7
4.1, 33 games; allowed 4.9Shots on target a game5.6, 33 games; allowed 4.7
45%, 33 gamesPossession59%, 33 games
4.3, 33 games; allowed 5.2Corners a game5.4, 33 games; allowed 4.5
12.9, 33 games; allowed 15.3Fouls a game13.4, 33 games; allowed 13.2
2.2, 33 games; allowed 2.6Yellow cards a game2.4, 33 games; allowed 2.6

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

How the prices moved

the typical price since our first read, each outcome

Result (90 min)

Fluminense +155 → +149 since first seen

  • Vitória+175 → +177
  • Draw+231 → +233
  • Fluminense+155 → +149

Both teams to score

No move since first seen

  • Yes−135 → −135
  • No+102 → +102

Draw no bet

No move since first seen

  • Vitória−103 → −103
  • Fluminense−129 → −129

Double chance

No move since first seen

  • Vitória or draw−200 → −200
  • Vitória or Fluminense−315 → −315
  • Draw or Fluminense−229 → −229