Are you 21 or older?

dane.bet is sports betting research for adults 21 and older. It is information only, not a sportsbook: we take no bets.

Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

São Paulo, this season at 90 minutes: 12W 8D 14L against Fluminense, this season at 90 minutes: 16W 9D 9L

Brazil Serie A · Thu, Nov 19 7:30 PM ET

São Paulo
+13040%
Draw
+22029%
Fluminense
+20531%

90 minutes · 5 sportsbooks · Total 2.5: Over +110 Under −143

The market makes São Paulo 40% / draw 29% / Fluminense 31%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (5 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)5 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
São PauloDrawFluminense
+13040%+22029%+20531%

Total goals5 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
1.51 sportsbook−287no fair chance+222no fair chance
2.25quarter line−117no fair chance−102no fair chance
2.5most posted+11045%−14355%
3.52 sportsbooks+27023%−42577%

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Both teams to score3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−12551%−11249%

Draw no bet2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
São PauloFluminense
−15557%+10643%

Double chance3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
São Paulo or drawSão Paulo or FluminenseDraw or Fluminense
−27569%−30571%−17560%

Asian handicap4 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapSão PauloFluminense
SAO −0.52 sportsbooks+12040%−18060%
SAO −0.25most posted+10047%−12153%
SAO +0.51 sportsbook−262no fair chance+208no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 5 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookSão PauloDrawFluminenseRead
BetMGM+130+225+2105 min ago
BetRivers+130+210+1905 min ago
Bovada+135+220+2059 min ago
DraftKings+130+220+2005 min ago
Pinnacle+138+230+2115 min ago
Total goals 2.5
SportsbookOver 2.5Under 2.5Read
BetRivers+110−1435 min ago
Bovada+113−1369 min ago
DraftKings+100−1455 min ago
Pinnacle+112−1355 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetMGM−125−1125 min ago
BetRivers−129−1145 min ago
Bovada−122−1089 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookSão PauloFluminenseRead
BetRivers−155+1065 min ago
Bovada−148+1229 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookSão Paulo or drawSão Paulo or FluminenseDraw or FluminenseRead
BetMGM−275−300−1755 min ago
BetRivers−275−315−1825 min ago
Bovada−280−305−1739 min ago
Asian handicap −0.25
SportsbookSão Paulo −0.25Fluminense +0.25Read
BetRivers+100−1325 min ago
Bovada+100−1209 min ago
Pinnacle+104−1215 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 1:32 AM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026), every competition, at 90 minutes
SAOWhatFLU
São Paulo, 2W 2D 1L:
  1. Won 2–1 at home to Vitória, Brazil Serie A, Oct 10
  2. Won 1–0 at home to Vasco da Gama, Brazil Serie A, Oct 17
  3. Drew 1–1 away to Mirassol, Brazil Serie A, Oct 24
  4. Lost 2–3 away to Bahia, Brazil Serie A, Oct 28
  5. Drew 0–0 at home to Corinthians, Brazil Serie A, Nov 4
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Fluminense, 2W 0D 3L:
  1. Lost 0–1 away to Flamengo, Brazil Serie A, Oct 11
  2. Lost 1–2 at home to Santos, Brazil Serie A, Oct 18
  3. Lost 1–2 away to Chapecoense, Brazil Serie A, Oct 24
  4. Won 2–1 at home to Internacional, Brazil Serie A, Oct 28
  5. Won 3–0 away to Vitória, Brazil Serie A, Nov 6
12–8–14, 34 gamesWon–drawn–lost16–9–9, 34 games
1.1, 34 gamesGoals scored a game1.6, 34 games
1.1, 34 gamesGoals allowed a game1.2, 34 games
13.7, 34 games; allowed 12.7Shots a game14.7, 34 games; allowed 12.7
4.2, 34 games; allowed 3.8Shots on target a game5.6, 34 games; allowed 4.7
53%, 34 gamesPossession59%, 34 games
6.9, 34 games; allowed 4.9Corners a game5.4, 34 games; allowed 4.7
14.4, 34 games; allowed 13.8Fouls a game13.6, 34 games; allowed 13.2
2.2, 34 games; allowed 2.4Yellow cards a game2.3, 34 games; allowed 2.6

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

Player lines

217 posted · at 90 minutes · last 10 at each line

Research, not picks

All 217 player lines in Props, this game