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São Paulo, this season at 90 minutes: 12W 7D 14L against Corinthians, this season at 90 minutes: 9W 9D 15L

Brazil Serie A · Today 7:30 PM ET

São Paulo
+13042%
Draw
+21030%
Corinthians
+22528%

90 minutes · 6 sportsbooks · Total 2.5: Over +130 Under −173

The market makes São Paulo 42% / draw 30% / Corinthians 28%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (6 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)6 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
São PauloDrawCorinthians
+13042%+21030%+22528%

Total goals6 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
0.51 sportsbook−1002no fair chance+654no fair chance
1.51 sportsbook−216no fair chance+179no fair chance
22 sportsbooks−13454%+10846%
2.5most posted+13040%−17360%
3.51 sportsbook+374no fair chance−502no fair chance

Both teams to score4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−10547%−13053%

Draw no bet3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
São PauloCorinthians
−16860%+13040%

Double chance4 sportsbooks

The market moved toward Draw or Corinthians since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
São Paulo or drawSão Paulo or CorinthiansDraw or Corinthians
−30072%−29070%−17558%

Asian handicap5 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapSão PauloCorinthians
SAO −1.51 sportsbook+400no fair chance−670no fair chance
SAO −0.52 sportsbooks+12041%−17059%
SAO −0.25most posted−10850%−11250%
SAO +0.51 sportsbook−297no fair chance+241no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 6 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookSão PauloDrawCorinthiansRead
BetMGM+135+210+2254 min ago
BetRivers+115+205+2254 min ago
Bovada+125+210+2303 min ago
DraftKings+135+210+2254 min ago
FanDuel+130+210+2204 min ago
Pinnacle+131+218+2464 min ago
Total goals 2.5
SportsbookOver 2.5Under 2.5Read
BetMGM+130−1854 min ago
BetRivers+123−1654 min ago
DraftKings+130−1754 min ago
FanDuel+138−1704 min ago
Pinnacle+144−1734 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetMGM−105−1354 min ago
BetRivers−113−1304 min ago
FanDuel−102−1264 min ago
Pinnacle+105−1254 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookSão PauloCorinthiansRead
BetRivers−190+1304 min ago
FanDuel−164+1284 min ago
Pinnacle−168+1404 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookSão Paulo or drawSão Paulo or CorinthiansDraw or CorinthiansRead
BetMGM−300−285−1754 min ago
BetRivers−335−305−1574 min ago
FanDuel−300−290−1754 min ago
Pinnacle−295−259−1524 min ago
Asian handicap −0.25
SportsbookSão Paulo −0.25Corinthians +0.25Read
BetRivers−117−1134 min ago
Bovada−108−1123 min ago
Pinnacle−103−1094 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 1:59 AM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026), every competition, at 90 minutes
SAOWhatCOR
São Paulo, 2W 1D 2L:
  1. Lost 0–2 away to Cruzeiro, Brazil Serie A, Oct 7
  2. Won 2–1 at home to Vitória, Brazil Serie A, Oct 10
  3. Won 1–0 at home to Vasco da Gama, Brazil Serie A, Oct 17
  4. Drew 1–1 away to Mirassol, Brazil Serie A, Oct 24
  5. Lost 2–3 away to Bahia, Brazil Serie A, Oct 28
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Corinthians, 1W 1D 3L:
  1. Lost 1–2 away to Internacional, Brazil Serie A, Oct 7
  2. Lost 1–4 away to Palmeiras, Brazil Serie A, Oct 11
  3. Drew 1–1 at home to Vitória, Brazil Serie A, Oct 19
  4. Lost 2–3 away to Vasco da Gama, Brazil Serie A, Oct 24
  5. Won 2–0 at home to Mirassol, Brazil Serie A, Oct 30
12–7–14, 33 gamesWon–drawn–lost9–9–15, 33 games
1.2, 33 gamesGoals scored a game1.1, 33 games
1.2, 33 gamesGoals allowed a game1.3, 33 games
13.5, 33 games; allowed 12.5Shots a game13.5, 33 games; allowed 12.1
4.2, 33 games; allowed 3.8Shots on target a game4.0, 33 games; allowed 4.2
53%, 33 gamesPossession54%, 33 games
6.9, 33 games; allowed 4.8Corners a game5.2, 33 games; allowed 4.6
14.5, 33 games; allowed 13.7Fouls a game13.5, 33 games; allowed 15.8
2.1, 33 games; allowed 2.4Yellow cards a game2.6, 33 games; allowed 2.8

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

How the prices moved

the typical price since our first read, each outcome

Result (90 min)

São Paulo +125 → +130 since first seen

  • São Paulo+125 → +130
  • Draw+210 → +210
  • Corinthians+230 → +225

Both teams to score

No −135 → −130 since first seen

  • Yes−102 → −105
  • No−135 → −130

Draw no bet

Corinthians +136 → +130 since first seen

  • São Paulo−174 → −168
  • Corinthians+136 → +130

Double chance

Draw or Corinthians −160 → −175 since first seen

  • São Paulo or draw−325 → −300
  • São Paulo or Corinthians−295 → −290
  • Draw or Corinthians−160 → −175