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Mirassol, this season at 90 minutes: 10W 10D 14L against Atlético-MG, this season at 90 minutes: 14W 8D 12L

Brazil Serie A · Sat, Nov 14 4:30 PM ET

Mirassol
+10745%
Draw
+24027%
Atlético-MG
+23028%

90 minutes · 2 sportsbooks · Total 2.5: Over −130 Under −110

The market makes Mirassol 45% / draw 27% / Atlético-MG 28%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (2 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
MirassolDrawAtlético-MG
+10745%+24027%+23028%

Total goals2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
1.51 sportsbook−370no fair chance+278no fair chance
2.5most posted−13052%−11048%
3.51 sportsbook+214no fair chance−275no fair chance
4.51 sportsbook+503no fair chance−758no fair chance

Both teams to score1 sportsbook

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−155no fair chance+110no fair chance

Double chance2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Mirassol or drawMirassol or Atlético-MGDraw or Atlético-MG
−32272%−32573%−14555%

Asian handicap1 sportsbook

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapMirassolAtlético-MG
MIR −0.51 sportsbook+107no fair chance−127no fair chance
MIR −0.25most posted−125no fair chance+107no fair chance
MIR +0.51 sportsbook−322no fair chance+252no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 2 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookMirassolDrawAtlético-MGRead
BetMGM+115+240+2307 min ago
Pinnacle+107+254+2567 min ago
Total goals 2.5
SportsbookOver 2.5Under 2.5Read
BetMGM−130−1107 min ago
Pinnacle−114−1047 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetMGM−155+1107 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookMirassol or drawMirassol or Atlético-MGDraw or Atlético-MGRead
BetMGM−300−325−1457 min ago
Pinnacle−322−320−1287 min ago
Asian handicap −0.25
SportsbookMirassol −0.25Atlético-MG +0.25Read
Pinnacle−125+1077 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 1:32 AM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026), every competition, at 90 minutes
MIRWhatCAM
Mirassol, 2W 1D 2L:
  1. Lost 0–1 away to Bahia, Brazil Serie A, Oct 11
  2. Won 2–0 at home to Internacional, Brazil Serie A, Oct 16
  3. Drew 1–1 at home to São Paulo, Brazil Serie A, Oct 24
  4. Lost 0–2 away to Corinthians, Brazil Serie A, Oct 30
  5. Won 2–1 away to Chapecoense, Brazil Serie A, Nov 3
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Atlético-MG, 2W 0D 3L:
  1. Won 2–1 at home to Santos, Brazil Serie A, Oct 11
  2. Won 1–0 at home to Coritiba, Brazil Serie A, Oct 17
  3. Lost 2–3 away to Flamengo, Brazil Serie A, Oct 26
  4. Lost 0–1 at home to Cruzeiro, Brazil Serie A, Oct 29
  5. Lost 0–1 away to Botafogo, Brazil Serie A, Nov 4
10–10–14, 34 gamesWon–drawn–lost14–8–12, 34 games
1.1, 34 gamesGoals scored a game1.3, 34 games
1.4, 34 gamesGoals allowed a game1.2, 34 games
13.5, 34 games; allowed 15.1Shots a game13.8, 34 games; allowed 15.7
4.3, 34 games; allowed 4.6Shots on target a game4.7, 34 games; allowed 4.5
50%, 34 gamesPossession49%, 34 games
5.2, 34 games; allowed 5.1Corners a game5.2, 34 games; allowed 5.7
12.4, 34 games; allowed 11.6Fouls a game11.9, 34 games; allowed 14.1
2.4, 34 games; allowed 2.0Yellow cards a game1.6, 34 games; allowed 2.1

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

How the prices moved

the typical price since our first read, each outcome

Result (90 min)

Atlético-MG +175 → +230 since first seen

  • Mirassol−106 → +107
  • Draw+240 → +240
  • Atlético-MG+175 → +230

Both teams to score

Yes −160 → −155 since first seen

  • Yes−160 → −155
  • No+110 → +110

Double chance

Draw or Atlético-MG −200 → −145 since first seen

  • Mirassol or draw−370 → −322
  • Mirassol or Atlético-MG−343 → −325
  • Draw or Atlético-MG−200 → −145

Player lines

none posted yet

Research, not picks

No player lines posted for this match yet. Books post most of them a day or two before kickoff.