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Flamengo, this season at 90 minutes: 22W 7D 4L against Grêmio, this season at 90 minutes: 9W 10D 14L

Brazil Serie A · Today 5:30 PM ET

Flamengo
−62583%
Draw
+70011%
Grêmio
+12006%

90 minutes · 5 sportsbooks · Total 3.5: Over −115 Under −115

The market makes Flamengo 83% / draw 11% / Grêmio 6%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (5 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)5 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
FlamengoDrawGrêmio
−62583%+70011%+12006%

Total goals5 sportsbooks

The market moved toward the Over 3.5 since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
2.51 sportsbook−297no fair chance+224no fair chance
3.5most posted−11550%−11550%
4.51 sportsbook+201no fair chance−264no fair chance
5.51 sportsbook+423no fair chance−642no fair chance

Both teams to score4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−10247%−14053%

Draw no bet3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
FlamengoGrêmio
−400094%+11006%

Double chance4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Flamengo or drawFlamengo or GrêmioDraw or Grêmio
−300094%−125089%+37017%

Asian handicap4 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapFlamengoGrêmio
FLA −2.5most posted+11542%−16058%
FLA −2.25quarter line+101no fair chance−118no fair chance
FLA −21 sportsbook−127no fair chance−104no fair chance
FLA −1.52 sportsbooks−24566%+16734%

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 5 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookFlamengoDrawGrêmioRead
BetMGM−525+700+115011 min ago
BetRivers−625+575+115011 min ago
DraftKings−600+700+130012 min ago
FanDuel−750+700+120011 min ago
Pinnacle−636+761+141911 min ago
Total goals 3.5
SportsbookOver 3.5Under 3.5Read
BetMGM−118−12011 min ago
BetRivers+100−13411 min ago
DraftKings−115−11512 min ago
FanDuel−115−10511 min ago
Pinnacle−111−10711 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetMGM−102−14011 min ago
BetRivers−103−14311 min ago
FanDuel−102−12611 min ago
Pinnacle−102−12111 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookFlamengoGrêmioRead
BetRivers−5000+85011 min ago
FanDuel−4000+110011 min ago
Pinnacle−2318+120011 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookFlamengo or drawFlamengo or GrêmioDraw or GrêmioRead
BetMGM−2500−1200+36011 min ago
BetRivers−10000−1250+37011 min ago
FanDuel−3000−1250+46011 min ago
Pinnacle−2453−1119+46911 min ago
Asian handicap −2.5
SportsbookFlamengo −2.5Grêmio +2.5Read
DraftKings+115−16012 min ago
Pinnacle+124−15011 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 1:54 AM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026), every competition, at 90 minutes
FLAWhatGRE
Flamengo, 4W 1D 0L:
  1. Drew 2–2 away to Santos, Brazil Serie A, Oct 8
  2. Won 1–0 at home to Fluminense, Brazil Serie A, Oct 11
  3. Won 3–0 away to Bahia, Brazil Serie A, Oct 18
  4. Won 3–2 at home to Atlético-MG, Brazil Serie A, Oct 26
  5. Won 4–1 away to Vasco da Gama, Brazil Serie A, Oct 29
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Grêmio, 2W 2D 1L:
  1. Drew 1–1 away to Remo, Brazil Serie A, Oct 7
  2. Drew 1–1 at home to Internacional, Brazil Serie A, Oct 11
  3. Lost 2–4 at home to Cruzeiro, Brazil Serie A, Oct 18
  4. Won 1–0 away to Coritiba, Brazil Serie A, Oct 26
  5. Won 2–0 at home to Athletico Paranaense, Brazil Serie A, Oct 29
22–7–4, 33 gamesWon–drawn–lost9–10–14, 33 games
2.1, 33 gamesGoals scored a game1.1, 33 games
0.8, 33 gamesGoals allowed a game1.3, 33 games
16.1, 33 games; allowed 12.2Shots a game12.1, 33 games; allowed 15.8
5.8, 33 games; allowed 3.6Shots on target a game3.8, 33 games; allowed 4.9
57%, 33 gamesPossession49%, 33 games
5.7, 33 games; allowed 4.3Corners a game4.6, 33 games; allowed 5.5
11.8, 33 games; allowed 12.5Fouls a game13.5, 33 games; allowed 13.6
2.1, 33 games; allowed 2.3Yellow cards a game2.5, 33 games; allowed 2.5

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

How the prices moved

the typical price since our first read, each outcome

Result (90 min)

Draw +675 → +700 since first seen

  • Flamengo−625 → −625
  • Draw+675 → +700
  • Grêmio+1250 → +1200

Both teams to score

Yes +104 → −102 since first seen

  • Yes+104 → −102
  • No−134 → −140

Draw no bet

Grêmio +1000 → +1100 since first seen

  • Flamengo−3500 → −4000
  • Grêmio+1000 → +1100

Double chance

Draw or Grêmio +375 → +370 since first seen

  • Flamengo or draw−3000 → −3000
  • Flamengo or Grêmio−1250 → −1250
  • Draw or Grêmio+375 → +370